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Технологии·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Технологии·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

янв. 1, 2027

янв. 1, 2027

$30,792 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$30,792 Объем

Polymarket

San Diego, CA

$4,021 Объем

90%

Denver, CO

$2,301 Объем

84%

Tampa, FL

$2,717 Объем

77%

Las Vegas, NV

$2,855 Объем

54%

Philadelphia, PA

$100 Объем

50%

St. Louis, MO

$41 Объем

49%

Charlotte, NC

$438 Объем

27%

Sacramento, CA

$1,443 Объем

26%

New Orleans, LA

$620 Объем

17%

Detroit, MI

$696 Объем

13%

Tokyo, Japan

$327 Объем

13%

Washington, DC

$1,337 Объем

12%

New York, NY

$1,534 Объем

11%

Pittsburgh, PA

$795 Объем

11%

Minneapolis, MN

$2,121 Объем

10%

Chicago, IL

$772 Объем

21%

Portland, OR

$2,410 Объем

9%

Baltimore, MD

$1,061 Объем

8%

London, UK

$748 Объем

7%

Boston, MA

$3,885 Объем

7%

Seattle, WA

$570 Объем

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s accelerated 2026 rollout, reaching 14 U.S. cities with public driverless service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1, has shaped trader views on likely year-end launches. The company is deploying its sixth-generation Waymo Driver and new Ojai minivan at scale while securing permits across California counties and additional states, aiming for over one million weekly paid rides. Recent milestones include Las Vegas operations, Lyft integration in Nashville, and groundwork in Munich and London, though the latter faces reported technical and regulatory hurdles. Competition from Tesla’s expanding robotaxi presence in Florida and Texas markets adds pressure, while fleet growth beyond 4,000 vehicles and historical patterns of rapid post-approval scaling support expectations for further U.S. additions before December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$30,792
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s accelerated 2026 rollout, reaching 14 U.S. cities with public driverless service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1, has shaped trader views on likely year-end launches. The company is deploying its sixth-generation Waymo Driver and new Ojai minivan at scale while securing permits across California counties and additional states, aiming for over one million weekly paid rides. Recent milestones include Las Vegas operations, Lyft integration in Nashville, and groundwork in Munich and London, though the latter faces reported technical and regulatory hurdles. Competition from Tesla’s expanding robotaxi presence in Florida and Texas markets adds pressure, while fleet growth beyond 4,000 vehicles and historical patterns of rapid post-approval scaling support expectations for further U.S. additions before December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$30,792
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «San Diego, CA» с 90%, за ним следует «Denver, CO» с 84%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 90¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $30.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» — «San Diego, CA» с 90%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Denver, CO» с 84%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.