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icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$118,615 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$118,615 Объем

Polymarket

JetBlue

$22,767 Объем

12%

Frontier Airlines

$32,806 Объем

20%

Allegiant

$30,434 Объем

4%

American Airlines

$11,551 Объем

3%

Alaska Airlines

$21,058 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, recently reaching $4.20–$4.50 per gallon amid Middle East supply disruptions, represent the dominant near-term pressure on U.S. carriers, sharply raising operating costs and compressing already thin margins for ultra-low-cost operators. JetBlue faces the highest near-term scrutiny with roughly $9 billion in debt, projected 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion under current fuel assumptions, and $755 million in debt maturities, though its CEO has stated ample liquidity rules out a 2026 filing. Frontier carries elevated aircraft lease and purchase commitments totaling over $2 billion, while larger network carriers such as Delta and United report stronger premium revenue and positive free-cash-flow guidance. Q2 earnings releases and any debt-refinancing outcomes will serve as key catalysts through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$118,615
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, recently reaching $4.20–$4.50 per gallon amid Middle East supply disruptions, represent the dominant near-term pressure on U.S. carriers, sharply raising operating costs and compressing already thin margins for ultra-low-cost operators. JetBlue faces the highest near-term scrutiny with roughly $9 billion in debt, projected 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion under current fuel assumptions, and $755 million in debt maturities, though its CEO has stated ample liquidity rules out a 2026 filing. Frontier carries elevated aircraft lease and purchase commitments totaling over $2 billion, while larger network carriers such as Delta and United report stronger premium revenue and positive free-cash-flow guidance. Q2 earnings releases and any debt-refinancing outcomes will serve as key catalysts through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$118,615
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Frontier Airlines» с 20%, за ним следует «JetBlue» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 20¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $118.6K с момента запуска рынка May 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» — «Frontier Airlines» с 20%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Следующий ближайший исход — «JetBlue» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.