When will Israel announce ceasefire?

October 8 100.0%

October 7 <1%

October 9 <1%

October 10 <1%

$11,151,904 Объем

October 7
$1,741 Объем
No

October 8
$10,249,058 Объем
Yes

October 9
$356,525 Объем
No

October 10
$86,049 Объем
No

October 11
$31,659 Объем
No

October 12
$55,146 Объем
No

October 13
$28,553 Объем
No

October 14
$20,769 Объем
No

October 15
$22,260 Объем
No

October 16
$19,009 Объем
No

October 17
$21,909 Объем
No

October 18
$18,333 Объем
No

October 19
$16,268 Объем
No

October 20
$17,328 Объем
No

October 21
$16,531 Объем
No

October 22
$16,056 Объем
No

October 23
$15,851 Объем
No

October 24
$15,288 Объем
No

October 25
$13,844 Объем
No

October 26
$13,268 Объем
No

October 27
$12,801 Объем
No

October 28
$14,002 Объем
No

October 29
$15,254 Объем
No

October 30
$13,262 Объем
No

October 31
$20,035 Объем
No

None in October
$41,102 Объем
No

Правила

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) that Israel officially announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas. If Israel does not officially announce that it has agreed to a ceasefire by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in October”. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Politics·Газа

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

October 8 100.0%

October 7 <1%

October 9 <1%

October 10 <1%

$11,151,904 Объем

October 7

$1,741 Объем

October 8

$10,249,058 Объем

Yes

October 9

$356,525 Объем

October 10

$86,049 Объем

October 11

$31,659 Объем

October 12

$55,146 Объем

October 13

$28,553 Объем

October 14

$20,769 Объем

October 15

$22,260 Объем

October 16

$19,009 Объем

October 17

$21,909 Объем

October 18

$18,333 Объем

October 19

$16,268 Объем

October 20

$17,328 Объем

October 21

$16,531 Объем

October 22

$16,056 Объем

October 23

$15,851 Объем

October 24

$15,288 Объем

October 25

$13,844 Объем

October 26

$13,268 Объем

October 27

$12,801 Объем

October 28

$14,002 Объем

October 29

$15,254 Объем

October 30

$13,262 Объем

October 31

$20,035 Объем

None in October

$41,102 Объем

О нас

Объем

$11,151,904

Дата создания

Oct 7, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

October 7
$1,741 Объем
No

October 8
$10,249,058 Объем
Yes

October 9
$356,525 Объем
No

October 10
$86,049 Объем
No

October 11
$31,659 Объем
No

October 12
$55,146 Объем
No

October 13
$28,553 Объем
No

October 14
$20,769 Объем
No

October 15
$22,260 Объем
No

October 16
$19,009 Объем
No

October 17
$21,909 Объем
No

October 18
$18,333 Объем
No

October 19
$16,268 Объем
No

October 20
$17,328 Объем
No

October 21
$16,531 Объем
No

October 22
$16,056 Объем
No

October 23
$15,851 Объем
No

October 24
$15,288 Объем
No

October 25
$13,844 Объем
No

October 26
$13,268 Объем
No

October 27
$12,801 Объем
No

October 28
$14,002 Объем
No

October 29
$15,254 Объем
No

October 30
$13,262 Объем
No

October 31
$20,035 Объем
No

None in October
$41,102 Объем
No

Рыночный контекст