Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s established record and Virginia’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent federal elections underpin trader consensus pricing the party’s nominee above 90 percent for the 2026 Senate seat. Primaries are set for August 4, with general-election polling through May showing double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Shifts remain possible from late-cycle national events, candidate-specific controversies, or unexpected turnout changes before the November 3 ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
Победитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
93%
Республиканец
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$7,932 Объем
93%
Республиканец
$1,118 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s established record and Virginia’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent federal elections underpin trader consensus pricing the party’s nominee above 90 percent for the 2026 Senate seat. Primaries are set for August 4, with general-election polling through May showing double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Shifts remain possible from late-cycle national events, candidate-specific controversies, or unexpected turnout changes before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$9,050Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s established record and Virginia’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent federal elections underpin trader consensus pricing the party’s nominee above 90 percent for the 2026 Senate seat. Primaries are set for August 4, with general-election polling through May showing double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Shifts remain possible from late-cycle national events, candidate-specific controversies, or unexpected turnout changes before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$9,050Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s established record and Virginia’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent federal elections underpin trader consensus pricing the party’s nominee above 90 percent for the 2026 Senate seat. Primaries are set for August 4, with general-election polling through May showing double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Shifts remain possible from late-cycle national events, candidate-specific controversies, or unexpected turnout changes before the November 3 ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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