Molly Gray holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Vermont lieutenant governor race, reflecting her strong polling margins and prior experience in the role from 2021 to 2023. Recent surveys, including those from the University of New Hampshire and Vermont Public, show her ahead of incumbent Republican John Rodgers by 8 to 19 points as of late September and early October 2026. Gray secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with over 60 percent of the vote. Both candidates have emphasized affordability issues such as housing, health care, and property taxes, while Rodgers has focused on constituent services and rural priorities during his current term. With the November 3 general election approaching, fundraising and debate performances continue to shape assessments of the contest.