Google DeepMind's Veo 4, the anticipated successor to Veo 3.1 in AI video generation, has yet to launch publicly as of mid-April 2026, driving trader caution in date-based markets with low implied probabilities for April 30 resolution. Recent Veo 3.1 enhancements in March fell short of full version expectations, while Chinese rivals like Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3.0 lead text-to-video benchmarks, intensifying pressure on Google to deliver superior motion consistency and 4K capabilities. Speculation peaked around an anonymous leaderboard-topper, HappyHorse-1.0, as a stealth Veo 4 test. Google I/O on May 19-20 represents the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest Gemini 4 and Veo announcements could shift sentiment dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVEO 4 выпустил...?
VEO 4 выпустил...?
$42,959 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
30 апреля
24%
$42,959 Объем
30 апреля
$669 Объем
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind's Veo 4, the anticipated successor to Veo 3.1 in AI video generation, has yet to launch publicly as of mid-April 2026, driving trader caution in date-based markets with low implied probabilities for April 30 resolution. Recent Veo 3.1 enhancements in March fell short of full version expectations, while Chinese rivals like Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3.0 lead text-to-video benchmarks, intensifying pressure on Google to deliver superior motion consistency and 4K capabilities. Speculation peaked around an anonymous leaderboard-topper, HappyHorse-1.0, as a stealth Veo 4 test. Google I/O on May 19-20 represents the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest Gemini 4 and Veo announcements could shift sentiment dramatically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$42,959Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind's Veo 4, the anticipated successor to Veo 3.1 in AI video generation, has yet to launch publicly as of mid-April 2026, driving trader caution in date-based markets with low implied probabilities for April 30 resolution. Recent Veo 3.1 enhancements in March fell short of full version expectations, while Chinese rivals like Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3.0 lead text-to-video benchmarks, intensifying pressure on Google to deliver superior motion consistency and 4K capabilities. Speculation peaked around an anonymous leaderboard-topper, HappyHorse-1.0, as a stealth Veo 4 test. Google I/O on May 19-20 represents the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest Gemini 4 and Veo announcements could shift sentiment dramatically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$42,959Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google DeepMind's Veo 4, the anticipated successor to Veo 3.1 in AI video generation, has yet to launch publicly as of mid-April 2026, driving trader caution in date-based markets with low implied probabilities for April 30 resolution. Recent Veo 3.1 enhancements in March fell short of full version expectations, while Chinese rivals like Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3.0 lead text-to-video benchmarks, intensifying pressure on Google to deliver superior motion consistency and 4K capabilities. Speculation peaked around an anonymous leaderboard-topper, HappyHorse-1.0, as a stealth Veo 4 test. Google I/O on May 19-20 represents the pivotal catalyst, where historical patterns suggest Gemini 4 and Veo announcements could shift sentiment dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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