Virginia’s 11th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the overwhelming partisan lean demonstrated in incumbent James Walkinshaw’s 75% victory in the September 2025 special election following Rep. Gerry Connolly’s death. Walkinshaw launched his full-term reelection bid in February 2026 amid a quiet Democratic primary featuring challenger Bree Fram, a retired Space Force colonel who gained endorsements like former Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall in March. No major Republican contender has emerged, underscoring the district’s suburban Northern Virginia demographics favoring Democrats. Odds could shift with a high-profile GOP recruit, a divisive primary outcome weakening the nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical ratings label it Solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоVA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,273 Объем
$11,273 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$11,273 Объем
$11,273 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,273 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the overwhelming partisan lean demonstrated in incumbent James Walkinshaw’s 75% victory in the September 2025 special election following Rep. Gerry Connolly’s death. Walkinshaw launched his full-term reelection bid in February 2026 amid a quiet Democratic primary featuring challenger Bree Fram, a retired Space Force colonel who gained endorsements like former Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall in March. No major Republican contender has emerged, underscoring the district’s suburban Northern Virginia demographics favoring Democrats. Odds could shift with a high-profile GOP recruit, a divisive primary outcome weakening the nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical ratings label it Solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$11,273Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the overwhelming partisan lean demonstrated in incumbent James Walkinshaw’s 75% victory in the September 2025 special election following Rep. Gerry Connolly’s death. Walkinshaw launched his full-term reelection bid in February 2026 amid a quiet Democratic primary featuring challenger Bree Fram, a retired Space Force colonel who gained endorsements like former Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall in March. No major Republican contender has emerged, underscoring the district’s suburban Northern Virginia demographics favoring Democrats. Odds could shift with a high-profile GOP recruit, a divisive primary outcome weakening the nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical ratings label it Solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,273Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 11th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus at 94.5% reflecting the overwhelming partisan lean demonstrated in incumbent James Walkinshaw’s 75% victory in the September 2025 special election following Rep. Gerry Connolly’s death. Walkinshaw launched his full-term reelection bid in February 2026 amid a quiet Democratic primary featuring challenger Bree Fram, a retired Space Force colonel who gained endorsements like former Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall in March. No major Republican contender has emerged, underscoring the district’s suburban Northern Virginia demographics favoring Democrats. Odds could shift with a high-profile GOP recruit, a divisive primary outcome weakening the nominee, or a national Republican midterm wave, though historical ratings label it Solid Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы