Virginia's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voter index of D+18, supporting the Democratic Party's commanding 94.5% consensus in the 2026 House election market. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw, who won a September 2025 special election by a wide margin after Gerry Connolly's death, holds the seat and faces only intra-party competition in the August 4 primary. The district's suburban Northern Virginia composition has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or external events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,977 Объем
$18,977 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$18,977 Объем
$18,977 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voter index of D+18, supporting the Democratic Party's commanding 94.5% consensus in the 2026 House election market. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw, who won a September 2025 special election by a wide margin after Gerry Connolly's death, holds the seat and faces only intra-party competition in the August 4 primary. The district's suburban Northern Virginia composition has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or external events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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