Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5% in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong R+14 partisan lean—87th most Republican nationally—and historical GOP dominance, including 63% wins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement, prompted by court-imposed redistricting, opened the seat but failed to boost Democrats, whose candidates like Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen trail in fundraising against GOP frontrunner Mike Kennedy's $292,000 cash on hand. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no polls indicating competitiveness. Potential shifts include GOP convention turmoil on April 25, nominee scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic wave, though safe-district base rates suggest low upset risk ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоUT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
UT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$799 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$2,061 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5% in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong R+14 partisan lean—87th most Republican nationally—and historical GOP dominance, including 63% wins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement, prompted by court-imposed redistricting, opened the seat but failed to boost Democrats, whose candidates like Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen trail in fundraising against GOP frontrunner Mike Kennedy's $292,000 cash on hand. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no polls indicating competitiveness. Potential shifts include GOP convention turmoil on April 25, nominee scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic wave, though safe-district base rates suggest low upset risk ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$2,860Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5% in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong R+14 partisan lean—87th most Republican nationally—and historical GOP dominance, including 63% wins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement, prompted by court-imposed redistricting, opened the seat but failed to boost Democrats, whose candidates like Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen trail in fundraising against GOP frontrunner Mike Kennedy's $292,000 cash on hand. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no polls indicating competitiveness. Potential shifts include GOP convention turmoil on April 25, nominee scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic wave, though safe-district base rates suggest low upset risk ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,860Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5% in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong R+14 partisan lean—87th most Republican nationally—and historical GOP dominance, including 63% wins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement, prompted by court-imposed redistricting, opened the seat but failed to boost Democrats, whose candidates like Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen trail in fundraising against GOP frontrunner Mike Kennedy's $292,000 cash on hand. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no polls indicating competitiveness. Potential shifts include GOP convention turmoil on April 25, nominee scandal, health issues, or a national Democratic wave, though safe-district base rates suggest low upset risk ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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