Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a strongly Democratic-leaning seat by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding liberal areas within its boundaries, prompting forecasters to rate the general election Solid Democratic. This structural shift underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 midterm. On the Democratic side, four candidates—Liban Mohamed, who secured the party convention endorsement in late April, former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, and Michael Farrell—remain in contention ahead of the June 23 primary. Republicans have nominated Riley Owen following their convention process. The market's implied probabilities reflect the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments that would alter its competitive outlook before the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUT-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
UT-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$27,226 Объем
$27,226 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
85%
Республиканская партия
8%
$27,226 Объем
$27,226 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$1,445 Объем
85%
Республиканская партия
$25,782 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a strongly Democratic-leaning seat by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding liberal areas within its boundaries, prompting forecasters to rate the general election Solid Democratic. This structural shift underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 midterm. On the Democratic side, four candidates—Liban Mohamed, who secured the party convention endorsement in late April, former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, and Michael Farrell—remain in contention ahead of the June 23 primary. Republicans have nominated Riley Owen following their convention process. The market's implied probabilities reflect the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments that would alter its competitive outlook before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Объем
$27,226Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a strongly Democratic-leaning seat by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding liberal areas within its boundaries, prompting forecasters to rate the general election Solid Democratic. This structural shift underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 midterm. On the Democratic side, four candidates—Liban Mohamed, who secured the party convention endorsement in late April, former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, and Michael Farrell—remain in contention ahead of the June 23 primary. Republicans have nominated Riley Owen following their convention process. The market's implied probabilities reflect the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments that would alter its competitive outlook before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,226Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st Congressional District into a strongly Democratic-leaning seat by concentrating Salt Lake City and surrounding liberal areas within its boundaries, prompting forecasters to rate the general election Solid Democratic. This structural shift underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 midterm. On the Democratic side, four candidates—Liban Mohamed, who secured the party convention endorsement in late April, former Representative Ben McAdams, state Senator Nate Blouin, and Michael Farrell—remain in contention ahead of the June 23 primary. Republicans have nominated Riley Owen following their convention process. The market's implied probabilities reflect the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments that would alter its competitive outlook before the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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