President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States impose a 20% cargo-value fee on all vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection amid renewed U.S.-Iran conflict and a naval blockade, but reversed the plan within 24 hours after pushback from Gulf allies and legal concerns raised by the International Maritime Organization. The administration shifted focus to trade and investment commitments from regional states instead. Ongoing Iranian efforts to assert control, including proposed tolls and routing changes coordinated with Oman, combined with U.S. enforcement actions, have kept the issue active. Trader consensus assigns low probability to U.S. fees being enacted by year-end, reflecting the swift policy reversal and longstanding U.S. positions favoring free passage through international straits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСША взимают сборы с Ормуза...?
США взимают сборы с Ормуза...?
$962,375 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
1%
31 декабря
7%
$962,375 Объем
31 августа
$176,364 Объем
1%
31 декабря
$98,858 Объем
7%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States impose a 20% cargo-value fee on all vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection amid renewed U.S.-Iran conflict and a naval blockade, but reversed the plan within 24 hours after pushback from Gulf allies and legal concerns raised by the International Maritime Organization. The administration shifted focus to trade and investment commitments from regional states instead. Ongoing Iranian efforts to assert control, including proposed tolls and routing changes coordinated with Oman, combined with U.S. enforcement actions, have kept the issue active. Trader consensus assigns low probability to U.S. fees being enacted by year-end, reflecting the swift policy reversal and longstanding U.S. positions favoring free passage through international straits.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Объем
$962,375Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States impose a 20% cargo-value fee on all vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection amid renewed U.S.-Iran conflict and a naval blockade, but reversed the plan within 24 hours after pushback from Gulf allies and legal concerns raised by the International Maritime Organization. The administration shifted focus to trade and investment commitments from regional states instead. Ongoing Iranian efforts to assert control, including proposed tolls and routing changes coordinated with Oman, combined with U.S. enforcement actions, have kept the issue active. Trader consensus assigns low probability to U.S. fees being enacted by year-end, reflecting the swift policy reversal and longstanding U.S. positions favoring free passage through international straits.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$962,375Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States impose a 20% cargo-value fee on all vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for naval protection amid renewed U.S.-Iran conflict and a naval blockade, but reversed the plan within 24 hours after pushback from Gulf allies and legal concerns raised by the International Maritime Organization. The administration shifted focus to trade and investment commitments from regional states instead. Ongoing Iranian efforts to assert control, including proposed tolls and routing changes coordinated with Oman, combined with U.S. enforcement actions, have kept the issue active. Trader consensus assigns low probability to U.S. fees being enacted by year-end, reflecting the swift policy reversal and longstanding U.S. positions favoring free passage through international straits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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