Recent primary runoffs on May 26 produced Republican nominee Carlos De La Cruz, backed by former President Trump, and Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy supported by national party spending. The newly redrawn San Antonio-area district was designed to favor Republicans yet carries a partisan voting index near even, prompting forecasters to rate it Likely Republican. Traders’ near-even split reflects uncertainty over general-election turnout, candidate appeal in a battleground setting, and any late shifts in national political conditions before the November 2026 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-35 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Республиканская партия
38%
Демократическая партия
43%
Республиканская партия
38%
Демократическая партия
43%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primary runoffs on May 26 produced Republican nominee Carlos De La Cruz, backed by former President Trump, and Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy supported by national party spending. The newly redrawn San Antonio-area district was designed to favor Republicans yet carries a partisan voting index near even, prompting forecasters to rate it Likely Republican. Traders’ near-even split reflects uncertainty over general-election turnout, candidate appeal in a battleground setting, and any late shifts in national political conditions before the November 2026 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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