Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, a San Antonio-based seat with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and Senate candidates have carried two-thirds or more of the vote. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects the district's partisan composition, Castro's long tenure since 2013, and limited campaign activity on the Republican side ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in this seat indicate such changes remain unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-20 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-20 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$10,988 Объем
$10,988 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$10,988 Объем
$10,988 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,001 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$1,987 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, a San Antonio-based seat with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and Senate candidates have carried two-thirds or more of the vote. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects the district's partisan composition, Castro's long tenure since 2013, and limited campaign activity on the Republican side ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in this seat indicate such changes remain unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$10,988Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, a San Antonio-based seat with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and Senate candidates have carried two-thirds or more of the vote. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects the district's partisan composition, Castro's long tenure since 2013, and limited campaign activity on the Republican side ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in this seat indicate such changes remain unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,988Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, a San Antonio-based seat with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Edgardo Baez, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic presidential and Senate candidates have carried two-thirds or more of the vote. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects the district's partisan composition, Castro's long tenure since 2013, and limited campaign activity on the Republican side ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in this seat indicate such changes remain unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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