Market icon
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Явка на досрочных выборах в Японии в 2026 году?

Market icon
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Явка на досрочных выборах в Японии в 2026 году?

56–58% 100.0%

<50% <1%

50–52% <1%

52–54% <1%

Polymarket

$125,672 Объем

56–58% 100.0%

<50% <1%

50–52% <1%

52–54% <1%

Polymarket

$125,672 Объем

<50%

$17,737 Объем

Нет

50–52%

$11,132 Объем

Нет

52–54%

$7,452 Объем

Нет

54–56%

$22,708 Объем

Нет

56–58%

$23,213 Объем

Да

58–60%

$13,985 Объем

Нет

60%+

$29,444 Объем

Нет

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).
Объем
$125,672
Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the single-seat constituency ballot (小選挙区), defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of the election are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as reported by the Japanese government, specifically Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/senkyo/senkyo_s/data/index.html).

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«Явка на досрочных выборах в Японии в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «56–58%» с 100%, за ним следует «<50%» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Текущий фаворит для «Явка на досрочных выборах в Японии в 2026 году?» — «56–58%» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<50%» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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