Turkey's expulsion from the F-35 program in 2019 over its acquisition of Russian S-400 air-defense systems remains the central barrier to reentry, as U.S. law requires Ankara to cease possession and operation of the missiles. Recent progress includes July 2026 statements from President Trump indicating willingness to consider reversing the exclusion during talks with President Erdoğan, alongside Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400 to a third party such as the UAE. U.S. and Turkish officials have described negotiations as advancing amid improved bilateral ties, though Congress faces lobbying opposition and no formal resolution has occurred. Turkey continues developing its domestic KAAN fighter as a parallel option while pursuing F-35 reintegration through diplomatic channels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$28,842 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
11%
30 июня 2027 года
36%
$28,842 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$28,357 Объем
11%
30 июня 2027 года
$485 Объем
36%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey's expulsion from the F-35 program in 2019 over its acquisition of Russian S-400 air-defense systems remains the central barrier to reentry, as U.S. law requires Ankara to cease possession and operation of the missiles. Recent progress includes July 2026 statements from President Trump indicating willingness to consider reversing the exclusion during talks with President Erdoğan, alongside Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400 to a third party such as the UAE. U.S. and Turkish officials have described negotiations as advancing amid improved bilateral ties, though Congress faces lobbying opposition and no formal resolution has occurred. Turkey continues developing its domestic KAAN fighter as a parallel option while pursuing F-35 reintegration through diplomatic channels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Объем
$28,842Дата окончания
30 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey's expulsion from the F-35 program in 2019 over its acquisition of Russian S-400 air-defense systems remains the central barrier to reentry, as U.S. law requires Ankara to cease possession and operation of the missiles. Recent progress includes July 2026 statements from President Trump indicating willingness to consider reversing the exclusion during talks with President Erdoğan, alongside Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400 to a third party such as the UAE. U.S. and Turkish officials have described negotiations as advancing amid improved bilateral ties, though Congress faces lobbying opposition and no formal resolution has occurred. Turkey continues developing its domestic KAAN fighter as a parallel option while pursuing F-35 reintegration through diplomatic channels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Объем
$28,842Дата окончания
30 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey's expulsion from the F-35 program in 2019 over its acquisition of Russian S-400 air-defense systems remains the central barrier to reentry, as U.S. law requires Ankara to cease possession and operation of the missiles. Recent progress includes July 2026 statements from President Trump indicating willingness to consider reversing the exclusion during talks with President Erdoğan, alongside Turkish efforts to transfer the S-400 to a third party such as the UAE. U.S. and Turkish officials have described negotiations as advancing amid improved bilateral ties, though Congress faces lobbying opposition and no formal resolution has occurred. Turkey continues developing its domestic KAAN fighter as a parallel option while pursuing F-35 reintegration through diplomatic channels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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