Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$360-$365 100.0%
<$360 <1%
$365-$370 <1%
$370-$375 <1%
$33,823 Объем
$33,823 Объем
Mar 27, 2026
<$360
No
$360-$365
Yes
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
>$405
No
$360-$365 100.0%
<$360 <1%
$365-$370 <1%
$370-$375 <1%
$33,823 Объем
$33,823 Объем
Mar 27, 2026
<$360
$1,500 Объем
No
$360-$365
$7,032 Объем
Yes
$365-$370
$2,832 Объем
No
$370-$375
$1,493 Объем
No
$375-$380
$7,818 Объем
No
$380-$385
$7,042 Объем
No
$385-$390
$791 Объем
No
$390-$395
$720 Объем
No
$395-$400
$1,144 Объем
No
$400-$405
$1,097 Объем
No
>$405
$2,355 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Объем
$33,823Дата окончания
Mar 27, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$33,823Дата окончания
Mar 27, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $360-$365 range, anchored by the stock's intraday trading around $362 amid subdued volatility and minimal time left before Friday's market close. This positioning stems from TSLA's post-earnings stability following a solid Q4 report with revenue beating estimates at $25.7 billion and robust Cybertruck delivery ramps offsetting softer China demand, alongside positive analyst revisions lifting the consensus price target to $380. Broader EV sector tailwinds from falling battery costs and regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration further bolster sentiment. Realistic challenges include a surprise Elon Musk announcement, macroeconomic data sparking a risk-off move, or late-session technical breakdown below $360 on elevated trading volume.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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