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Политика·Трендовые рынки

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

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Политика·Трендовые рынки

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$888,499 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$888,499 Объем

According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll). This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll).

This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.
Объем
$888,499
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 4, 2024, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll). This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll). This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll).

This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.
Объем
$888,499
Дата окончания
5 нояб. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 4, 2024, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
According to the CNN exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 12% of the Black vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's share of African American or Black voters is 13% or greater in 2024 US presidential election according to available exit polling information from CNN provided on their website as of November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump drops out of the race at any point, or faces any extenuating circumstances that prevents him from continuing the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be exit polls from CNN. If CNN has not made exit poll information available online by this market's end time, this market will stay open until it has been released/published. If the exit poll information has not been published by November 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, exit polls from CBS will be used instead (data from the 2024 CBS exit poll will be compared to the 2020 CBS exit poll). This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $888.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 4, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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