Recent Swedish opinion polls place Sweden Democrats support in a narrow band around 19%, with aggregates near 19.3% and individual surveys ranging from 17.7% to 20.2% in the final week before the September 13 parliamentary election. This positioning, down modestly from the party's 20.5% result in 2022, sustains competitive balance in the over/under 19% market as the right-wing bloc competes closely with the centre-left opposition. Key influences include voter priorities on immigration enforcement and gang crime, modest recovery by the Liberals above the 4% threshold, and bloc-level tightening that has reduced earlier left-leaning leads. Late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or differential performance by allied parties could move the final SD share across the line either way.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOver
$4,218 Объем
$4,218 Объем
Over
$4,218 Объем
$4,218 Объем
This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:37 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins at least 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins less than 19% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls place Sweden Democrats support in a narrow band around 19%, with aggregates near 19.3% and individual surveys ranging from 17.7% to 20.2% in the final week before the September 13 parliamentary election. This positioning, down modestly from the party's 20.5% result in 2022, sustains competitive balance in the over/under 19% market as the right-wing bloc competes closely with the centre-left opposition. Key influences include voter priorities on immigration enforcement and gang crime, modest recovery by the Liberals above the 4% threshold, and bloc-level tightening that has reduced earlier left-leaning leads. Late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or differential performance by allied parties could move the final SD share across the line either way.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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