Recent Swedish opinion polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.8% range, producing a polling average near 7.5% ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. This level reflects steady gains since the 5.1% result in 2022, driven by renewed emphasis on climate policy, including calls to restore a dedicated Environment Ministry, establish a prime ministerial climate cabinet, and create a long-term climate investment fund. The party’s positioning within the centre-left bloc, which holds a narrow lead in aggregated surveys, has helped consolidate its base without major recent volatility. Traders price the 7–9% interval highest because it aligns closely with the distribution of late-campaign polling, while the low probability attached to sub-5% outcomes tracks the absence of sharp downward movement in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено7-9% 49%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 14.5%
<5% 2.1%
$28,630 Объем
$28,630 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
<5%
2%
5-7%
37%
7-9%
49%
9%+
14%
7-9% 49%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 14.5%
<5% 2.1%
$28,630 Объем
$28,630 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
<5%
$5,989 Объем
2%
5-7%
$7,361 Объем
37%
7-9%
$9,490 Объем
49%
9%+
$5,791 Объем
14%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.8% range, producing a polling average near 7.5% ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. This level reflects steady gains since the 5.1% result in 2022, driven by renewed emphasis on climate policy, including calls to restore a dedicated Environment Ministry, establish a prime ministerial climate cabinet, and create a long-term climate investment fund. The party’s positioning within the centre-left bloc, which holds a narrow lead in aggregated surveys, has helped consolidate its base without major recent volatility. Traders price the 7–9% interval highest because it aligns closely with the distribution of late-campaign polling, while the low probability attached to sub-5% outcomes tracks the absence of sharp downward movement in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Объем
$28,630Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.8% range, producing a polling average near 7.5% ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. This level reflects steady gains since the 5.1% result in 2022, driven by renewed emphasis on climate policy, including calls to restore a dedicated Environment Ministry, establish a prime ministerial climate cabinet, and create a long-term climate investment fund. The party’s positioning within the centre-left bloc, which holds a narrow lead in aggregated surveys, has helped consolidate its base without major recent volatility. Traders price the 7–9% interval highest because it aligns closely with the distribution of late-campaign polling, while the low probability attached to sub-5% outcomes tracks the absence of sharp downward movement in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$28,630Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) support in the 6.8–8.8% range, producing a polling average near 7.5% ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. This level reflects steady gains since the 5.1% result in 2022, driven by renewed emphasis on climate policy, including calls to restore a dedicated Environment Ministry, establish a prime ministerial climate cabinet, and create a long-term climate investment fund. The party’s positioning within the centre-left bloc, which holds a narrow lead in aggregated surveys, has helped consolidate its base without major recent volatility. Traders price the 7–9% interval highest because it aligns closely with the distribution of late-campaign polling, while the low probability attached to sub-5% outcomes tracks the absence of sharp downward movement in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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