Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest edge over Miljöpartiet, with V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–7% in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning underpins traders’ 71% implied probability that V receives more votes. MP has recorded sharper recent declines in several surveys, including a notable drop in the latest GP/Novus measure, amid internal concerns over slipping support and campaign messaging on climate and fuel prices. V has held steadier while emphasizing welfare and government participation demands within the red-green opposition. The overall tight bloc contest has not altered the relative standing between these two smaller left-leaning parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоV
71% вероятность
$1,045 Объем
$1,045 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
V
71% вероятность
$1,045 Объем
$1,045 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest edge over Miljöpartiet, with V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–7% in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning underpins traders’ 71% implied probability that V receives more votes. MP has recorded sharper recent declines in several surveys, including a notable drop in the latest GP/Novus measure, amid internal concerns over slipping support and campaign messaging on climate and fuel prices. V has held steadier while emphasizing welfare and government participation demands within the red-green opposition. The overall tight bloc contest has not altered the relative standing between these two smaller left-leaning parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Объем
$1,045Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest edge over Miljöpartiet, with V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–7% in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning underpins traders’ 71% implied probability that V receives more votes. MP has recorded sharper recent declines in several surveys, including a notable drop in the latest GP/Novus measure, amid internal concerns over slipping support and campaign messaging on climate and fuel prices. V has held steadier while emphasizing welfare and government participation demands within the red-green opposition. The overall tight bloc contest has not altered the relative standing between these two smaller left-leaning parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$1,045Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest edge over Miljöpartiet, with V typically at 7–8% and MP at 6–7% in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion. This positioning underpins traders’ 71% implied probability that V receives more votes. MP has recorded sharper recent declines in several surveys, including a notable drop in the latest GP/Novus measure, amid internal concerns over slipping support and campaign messaging on climate and fuel prices. V has held steadier while emphasizing welfare and government participation demands within the red-green opposition. The overall tight bloc contest has not altered the relative standing between these two smaller left-leaning parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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