Recent opinion polls in the final week before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Centerpartiet holding a modest lead over Kristdemokraterna, with aggregates placing the former near 7.7 percent and the latter around 6.6 percent. Centerpartiet’s positioning on potential cross-bloc cooperation and its leader’s public statements have supported its standing among undecided and moderate voters, while Kristdemokraterna’s support has fluctuated without a sustained surge. The broader contest between the left-leaning and right-leaning blocs remains tight, yet this has not narrowed the gap between these two smaller parties. Traders’ implied probability favoring more votes for Centerpartiet reflects this consistent polling edge and limited late momentum for Kristdemokraterna.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоC
94% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
C
94% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls in the final week before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Centerpartiet holding a modest lead over Kristdemokraterna, with aggregates placing the former near 7.7 percent and the latter around 6.6 percent. Centerpartiet’s positioning on potential cross-bloc cooperation and its leader’s public statements have supported its standing among undecided and moderate voters, while Kristdemokraterna’s support has fluctuated without a sustained surge. The broader contest between the left-leaning and right-leaning blocs remains tight, yet this has not narrowed the gap between these two smaller parties. Traders’ implied probability favoring more votes for Centerpartiet reflects this consistent polling edge and limited late momentum for Kristdemokraterna.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ET
Объем
$194Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls in the final week before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Centerpartiet holding a modest lead over Kristdemokraterna, with aggregates placing the former near 7.7 percent and the latter around 6.6 percent. Centerpartiet’s positioning on potential cross-bloc cooperation and its leader’s public statements have supported its standing among undecided and moderate voters, while Kristdemokraterna’s support has fluctuated without a sustained surge. The broader contest between the left-leaning and right-leaning blocs remains tight, yet this has not narrowed the gap between these two smaller parties. Traders’ implied probability favoring more votes for Centerpartiet reflects this consistent polling edge and limited late momentum for Kristdemokraterna.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$194Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls in the final week before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show Centerpartiet holding a modest lead over Kristdemokraterna, with aggregates placing the former near 7.7 percent and the latter around 6.6 percent. Centerpartiet’s positioning on potential cross-bloc cooperation and its leader’s public statements have supported its standing among undecided and moderate voters, while Kristdemokraterna’s support has fluctuated without a sustained surge. The broader contest between the left-leaning and right-leaning blocs remains tight, yet this has not narrowed the gap between these two smaller parties. Traders’ implied probability favoring more votes for Centerpartiet reflects this consistent polling edge and limited late momentum for Kristdemokraterna.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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