Recent Swedish polling averages place the Moderate Party (M) near 17.6 percent, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 16.4 and 18.4 percent. This positioning reflects modest erosion from the 19.1 percent recorded in 2022 amid stable but not dominant support within the Tidö right-wing bloc, where gains by the Sweden Democrats and recent Liberal Party movement above the 4 percent threshold have redistributed votes. Campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, energy costs, and security has produced limited net movement for M, while bloc-level volatility keeps its standalone share contested. The election on September 13 leaves room for final shifts in turnout or last-week voter flows between right-leaning parties to determine whether M finishes in the 16-18 or 18-20 percent range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено16-18% 42%
18-20% 36%
<16% 22%
20%+ 4.0%
$62,632 Объем
$62,632 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
<16%
22%
16-18%
42%
18-20%
36%
20%+
4%
16-18% 42%
18-20% 36%
<16% 22%
20%+ 4.0%
$62,632 Объем
$62,632 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
<16%
$21,855 Объем
22%
16-18%
$15,198 Объем
42%
18-20%
$13,912 Объем
36%
20%+
$11,666 Объем
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place the Moderate Party (M) near 17.6 percent, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 16.4 and 18.4 percent. This positioning reflects modest erosion from the 19.1 percent recorded in 2022 amid stable but not dominant support within the Tidö right-wing bloc, where gains by the Sweden Democrats and recent Liberal Party movement above the 4 percent threshold have redistributed votes. Campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, energy costs, and security has produced limited net movement for M, while bloc-level volatility keeps its standalone share contested. The election on September 13 leaves room for final shifts in turnout or last-week voter flows between right-leaning parties to determine whether M finishes in the 16-18 or 18-20 percent range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Объем
$62,632Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place the Moderate Party (M) near 17.6 percent, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 16.4 and 18.4 percent. This positioning reflects modest erosion from the 19.1 percent recorded in 2022 amid stable but not dominant support within the Tidö right-wing bloc, where gains by the Sweden Democrats and recent Liberal Party movement above the 4 percent threshold have redistributed votes. Campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, energy costs, and security has produced limited net movement for M, while bloc-level volatility keeps its standalone share contested. The election on September 13 leaves room for final shifts in turnout or last-week voter flows between right-leaning parties to determine whether M finishes in the 16-18 or 18-20 percent range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$62,632Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling averages place the Moderate Party (M) near 17.6 percent, with individual surveys from early September showing results clustered between 16.4 and 18.4 percent. This positioning reflects modest erosion from the 19.1 percent recorded in 2022 amid stable but not dominant support within the Tidö right-wing bloc, where gains by the Sweden Democrats and recent Liberal Party movement above the 4 percent threshold have redistributed votes. Campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, energy costs, and security has produced limited net movement for M, while bloc-level volatility keeps its standalone share contested. The election on September 13 leaves room for final shifts in turnout or last-week voter flows between right-leaning parties to determine whether M finishes in the 16-18 or 18-20 percent range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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