Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Kristdemokraterna (KD) support averaging around 6.5-6.6% over the past 30 days, with individual surveys from Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, and Verian placing the party between 5.5% and 7.6% in early September. This positioning above the 6% threshold reflects KD’s stable role within the Tidö government bloc alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, supported by Sverigedemokraterna, amid a tightening race where the right-wing parties have narrowed the opposition’s lead. Trader consensus on the Over 6% outcome at 72.5% aligns with these aggregates and recent upward or steady readings in multiple pollsters, though the narrow margins in bloc competition and variability across surveys underscore remaining uncertainty until results are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOver
67% вероятность
$2,073 Объем
$2,073 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Over
67% вероятность
$2,073 Объем
$2,073 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Kristdemokraterna (KD) support averaging around 6.5-6.6% over the past 30 days, with individual surveys from Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, and Verian placing the party between 5.5% and 7.6% in early September. This positioning above the 6% threshold reflects KD’s stable role within the Tidö government bloc alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, supported by Sverigedemokraterna, amid a tightening race where the right-wing parties have narrowed the opposition’s lead. Trader consensus on the Over 6% outcome at 72.5% aligns with these aggregates and recent upward or steady readings in multiple pollsters, though the narrow margins in bloc competition and variability across surveys underscore remaining uncertainty until results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
Объем
$2,073Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Kristdemokraterna (KD) support averaging around 6.5-6.6% over the past 30 days, with individual surveys from Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, and Verian placing the party between 5.5% and 7.6% in early September. This positioning above the 6% threshold reflects KD’s stable role within the Tidö government bloc alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, supported by Sverigedemokraterna, amid a tightening race where the right-wing parties have narrowed the opposition’s lead. Trader consensus on the Over 6% outcome at 72.5% aligns with these aggregates and recent upward or steady readings in multiple pollsters, though the narrow margins in bloc competition and variability across surveys underscore remaining uncertainty until results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$2,073Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Kristdemokraterna (KD) support averaging around 6.5-6.6% over the past 30 days, with individual surveys from Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, and Verian placing the party between 5.5% and 7.6% in early September. This positioning above the 6% threshold reflects KD’s stable role within the Tidö government bloc alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, supported by Sverigedemokraterna, amid a tightening race where the right-wing parties have narrowed the opposition’s lead. Trader consensus on the Over 6% outcome at 72.5% aligns with these aggregates and recent upward or steady readings in multiple pollsters, though the narrow margins in bloc competition and variability across surveys underscore remaining uncertainty until results are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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