Recent polling averages project the PP and Vox together securing 186–214 seats in the November 29 snap election, comfortably above the 176-seat threshold for an absolute majority in Spain’s Congress. Multiple surveys conducted after Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called the early vote—following parliamentary rejection of housing decrees amid protests and regional crises—show the PP leading with roughly 31–33% support while Vox reaches 18–19%, often doubling its 2023 seat total. The left-wing bloc, including PSOE and Sumar, trails significantly and shows limited coalition potential. These consistent seat projections across pollsters underpin trader assessments of a likely PP-Vox outcome.