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icon for Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?

Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?

icon for Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?

Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?

$67,532 Объем

31 окт. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$67,532 Объем

Polymarket

October 31

$7,388 Объем

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.Situational Awareness, the AI-focused hedge fund launched by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, faced acute pressure in late July 2026 after steep losses on leveraged public equity bets in AI infrastructure stocks triggered margin calls and an AUM drop from roughly $20-45 billion to around $8-10 billion. The firm actively sought fresh capital from existing backers and explored asset sales, citing compelling buying opportunities ahead of events like a potential Anthropic IPO, but ultimately offloaded most of its public portfolio to Citadel at a discount rather than securing broad new commitments. It has since deployed $400 million into private AI chip startup Source Foundry, preserving core private holdings while operating with a lean team amid ongoing volatility in artificial intelligence markets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.

Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$67,532
Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.Situational Awareness, the AI-focused hedge fund launched by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, faced acute pressure in late July 2026 after steep losses on leveraged public equity bets in AI infrastructure stocks triggered margin calls and an AUM drop from roughly $20-45 billion to around $8-10 billion. The firm actively sought fresh capital from existing backers and explored asset sales, citing compelling buying opportunities ahead of events like a potential Anthropic IPO, but ultimately offloaded most of its public portfolio to Citadel at a discount rather than securing broad new commitments. It has since deployed $400 million into private AI chip startup Source Foundry, preserving core private holdings while operating with a lean team amid ongoing volatility in artificial intelligence markets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.

Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$67,532
Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «October 31» с 39%, за ним следует «31 августа» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $67.5K с момента запуска рынка Jul 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?» — «October 31» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 августа» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ситуационная осведомленность привлекает новый капитал на...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.