US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States took place in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in January and February 2026 but produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, or neutrality. Negotiations effectively stalled thereafter amid competing US priorities, including the conflict involving Israel and Iran, while battlefield operations continued without pause. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow would consider resuming talks, including in Istanbul, if Ukraine proposed them, though he described this as low priority. In early June, NATO leaders reiterated calls for negotiations while noting limited Russian flexibility. These developments frame trader assessments of the likelihood and timing of any future bilateral or trilateral diplomatic meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$257,932 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
June 30
13%
December 31
68%
$257,932 Объем
June 30
$78,021 Объем
13%
December 31
$62,773 Объем
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States took place in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in January and February 2026 but produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, or neutrality. Negotiations effectively stalled thereafter amid competing US priorities, including the conflict involving Israel and Iran, while battlefield operations continued without pause. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow would consider resuming talks, including in Istanbul, if Ukraine proposed them, though he described this as low priority. In early June, NATO leaders reiterated calls for negotiations while noting limited Russian flexibility. These developments frame trader assessments of the likelihood and timing of any future bilateral or trilateral diplomatic meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Объем
$257,932Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States took place in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in January and February 2026 but produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, or neutrality. Negotiations effectively stalled thereafter amid competing US priorities, including the conflict involving Israel and Iran, while battlefield operations continued without pause. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow would consider resuming talks, including in Istanbul, if Ukraine proposed them, though he described this as low priority. In early June, NATO leaders reiterated calls for negotiations while noting limited Russian flexibility. These developments frame trader assessments of the likelihood and timing of any future bilateral or trilateral diplomatic meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$257,932Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States took place in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in January and February 2026 but produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, or neutrality. Negotiations effectively stalled thereafter amid competing US priorities, including the conflict involving Israel and Iran, while battlefield operations continued without pause. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow would consider resuming talks, including in Istanbul, if Ukraine proposed them, though he described this as low priority. In early June, NATO leaders reiterated calls for negotiations while noting limited Russian flexibility. These developments frame trader assessments of the likelihood and timing of any future bilateral or trilateral diplomatic meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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