Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and foreign financing issues. With Yabloko absent from the nationwide proportional representation contest, it cannot receive valid votes needed to meet the 5% threshold for seats. The liberal party has failed to clear that bar in every national election since 1999, typically registering 1-2% in official tallies amid documented administrative restrictions and limited media access for opposition groups. Independent surveys occasionally showed pockets of higher urban support, yet state-aligned polling consistently placed it far below viability. Reversal of the final court decision before September 20 remains the only plausible path to altering the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в России: «Яблоко» убирает думский порог?
Выборы в России: «Яблоко» убирает думский порог?
Да
<1% вероятность
$551,040 Объем
$551,040 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Да
<1% вероятность
$551,040 Объем
$551,040 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and foreign financing issues. With Yabloko absent from the nationwide proportional representation contest, it cannot receive valid votes needed to meet the 5% threshold for seats. The liberal party has failed to clear that bar in every national election since 1999, typically registering 1-2% in official tallies amid documented administrative restrictions and limited media access for opposition groups. Independent surveys occasionally showed pockets of higher urban support, yet state-aligned polling consistently placed it far below viability. Reversal of the final court decision before September 20 remains the only plausible path to altering the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Объем
$551,040Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and foreign financing issues. With Yabloko absent from the nationwide proportional representation contest, it cannot receive valid votes needed to meet the 5% threshold for seats. The liberal party has failed to clear that bar in every national election since 1999, typically registering 1-2% in official tallies amid documented administrative restrictions and limited media access for opposition groups. Independent surveys occasionally showed pockets of higher urban support, yet state-aligned polling consistently placed it far below viability. Reversal of the final court decision before September 20 remains the only plausible path to altering the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$551,040Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party list from the September State Duma ballot after a lawsuit by the Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and foreign financing issues. With Yabloko absent from the nationwide proportional representation contest, it cannot receive valid votes needed to meet the 5% threshold for seats. The liberal party has failed to clear that bar in every national election since 1999, typically registering 1-2% in official tallies amid documented administrative restrictions and limited media access for opposition groups. Independent surveys occasionally showed pockets of higher urban support, yet state-aligned polling consistently placed it far below viability. Reversal of the final court decision before September 20 remains the only plausible path to altering the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли партия «Справедливая Россия — За правду» (СРЗП) хотя бы одно место на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
98%
Да
Выборы в России: «Единая Россия» победила во всех регионах?
68%
Да
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
74%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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