United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, regional legislative elections in 39 regions holding majorities or pluralities from the prior cycle in nearly every legislature, bolstered by its nationwide organizational reach, administrative resources, and the mixed electoral system favoring the largest party. Recent developments include the ruling party securing the top ballot position in 21 regions—an outcome opposition figures described as statistically improbable under neutral conditions—alongside the exclusion or severe restriction of several smaller parties, including Yabloko’s federal and most regional lists. Kremlin-aligned candidates dominate single-member districts and party lists, while polling and historical patterns show United Russia routinely exceeding 50–80% support in controlled regions. Traders price the “yes” outcome at 71.5% because these structural and procedural factors make a sweep the consensus expectation, though isolated regional variations remain possible before voting concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
72% вероятность
$366,552 Объем
$366,552 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Да
72% вероятность
$366,552 Объем
$366,552 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, regional legislative elections in 39 regions holding majorities or pluralities from the prior cycle in nearly every legislature, bolstered by its nationwide organizational reach, administrative resources, and the mixed electoral system favoring the largest party. Recent developments include the ruling party securing the top ballot position in 21 regions—an outcome opposition figures described as statistically improbable under neutral conditions—alongside the exclusion or severe restriction of several smaller parties, including Yabloko’s federal and most regional lists. Kremlin-aligned candidates dominate single-member districts and party lists, while polling and historical patterns show United Russia routinely exceeding 50–80% support in controlled regions. Traders price the “yes” outcome at 71.5% because these structural and procedural factors make a sweep the consensus expectation, though isolated regional variations remain possible before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Объем
$366,552Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, regional legislative elections in 39 regions holding majorities or pluralities from the prior cycle in nearly every legislature, bolstered by its nationwide organizational reach, administrative resources, and the mixed electoral system favoring the largest party. Recent developments include the ruling party securing the top ballot position in 21 regions—an outcome opposition figures described as statistically improbable under neutral conditions—alongside the exclusion or severe restriction of several smaller parties, including Yabloko’s federal and most regional lists. Kremlin-aligned candidates dominate single-member districts and party lists, while polling and historical patterns show United Russia routinely exceeding 50–80% support in controlled regions. Traders price the “yes” outcome at 71.5% because these structural and procedural factors make a sweep the consensus expectation, though isolated regional variations remain possible before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$366,552Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, regional legislative elections in 39 regions holding majorities or pluralities from the prior cycle in nearly every legislature, bolstered by its nationwide organizational reach, administrative resources, and the mixed electoral system favoring the largest party. Recent developments include the ruling party securing the top ballot position in 21 regions—an outcome opposition figures described as statistically improbable under neutral conditions—alongside the exclusion or severe restriction of several smaller parties, including Yabloko’s federal and most regional lists. Kremlin-aligned candidates dominate single-member districts and party lists, while polling and historical patterns show United Russia routinely exceeding 50–80% support in controlled regions. Traders price the “yes” outcome at 71.5% because these structural and procedural factors make a sweep the consensus expectation, though isolated regional variations remain possible before voting concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли партия «Справедливая Россия — За правду» (СРЗП) хотя бы одно место на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу России?
86%
Да
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
99%
Да
Получит ли «Единая Россия» от 325 до 339 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу России?
45%
Да
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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