President Klaus Iohannis nominated PNL leader Ilie Bolojan as prime minister candidate on December 10 following December 1 snap parliamentary elections, amid PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition negotiations securing a slim majority in parliament. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward Bolojan remaining PM through year-end at 54% implied probability for "No," reflecting confidence in his upcoming investiture vote expected by late December, supported by coalition agreement on government program. However, the closely contested odds highlight risks from internal coalition frictions, far-right AUR opposition, and unresolved presidential election fallout after the Constitutional Court's annulment of the November runoff. A successful floor vote would bolster "No," while delays, defections, or nomination withdrawal could swing toward "Yes."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$12,025 Объем
$12,025 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$12,025 Объем
$12,025 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Klaus Iohannis nominated PNL leader Ilie Bolojan as prime minister candidate on December 10 following December 1 snap parliamentary elections, amid PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition negotiations securing a slim majority in parliament. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward Bolojan remaining PM through year-end at 54% implied probability for "No," reflecting confidence in his upcoming investiture vote expected by late December, supported by coalition agreement on government program. However, the closely contested odds highlight risks from internal coalition frictions, far-right AUR opposition, and unresolved presidential election fallout after the Constitutional Court's annulment of the November runoff. A successful floor vote would bolster "No," while delays, defections, or nomination withdrawal could swing toward "Yes."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Объем
$12,025Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Klaus Iohannis nominated PNL leader Ilie Bolojan as prime minister candidate on December 10 following December 1 snap parliamentary elections, amid PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition negotiations securing a slim majority in parliament. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward Bolojan remaining PM through year-end at 54% implied probability for "No," reflecting confidence in his upcoming investiture vote expected by late December, supported by coalition agreement on government program. However, the closely contested odds highlight risks from internal coalition frictions, far-right AUR opposition, and unresolved presidential election fallout after the Constitutional Court's annulment of the November runoff. A successful floor vote would bolster "No," while delays, defections, or nomination withdrawal could swing toward "Yes."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$12,025Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Klaus Iohannis nominated PNL leader Ilie Bolojan as prime minister candidate on December 10 following December 1 snap parliamentary elections, amid PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition negotiations securing a slim majority in parliament. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward Bolojan remaining PM through year-end at 54% implied probability for "No," reflecting confidence in his upcoming investiture vote expected by late December, supported by coalition agreement on government program. However, the closely contested odds highlight risks from internal coalition frictions, far-right AUR opposition, and unresolved presidential election fallout after the Constitutional Court's annulment of the November runoff. A successful floor vote would bolster "No," while delays, defections, or nomination withdrawal could swing toward "Yes."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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