Anne Hathaway’s early positioning in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* drives trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by the film’s anticipated awards momentum and ongoing debate over category placement for her Penelope role. Penélope Cruz follows at 15.5% on the strength of dual campaigns in *La Bola Negra* and *The Invite*, while emerging contenders like Mariana di Girolamo, Sandra Hüller, and Zendaya reflect a wide-open field with limited fall festival screenings to date. Historical Academy patterns favor established names in supporting races, yet fluid category decisions and guild buzz ahead of 2027 nominations keep the spread tight. Key catalysts include upcoming TIFF and fall premieres that could reshape frontrunner status before voting begins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса второго плана
«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса второго плана
Энн Хэтэуэй 37%
Мариана ди Джироламо 15.2%
Пенелопа Крус 15%
Зендея 5.9%
$16,113 Объем
$16,113 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Энн Хэтэуэй
37%
Мариана ди Джироламо
15%
Пенелопа Крус
15%
Зендея
6%
Бетти Гилпин
6%
Сандра Хюллер
5%
Маргарет Куэлли
5%
Тао Окамото
4%
Паркер Поузи
3%
Изабелла Росселлини
3%
Дэниэль Дэдуайлер
3%
Джемма Чан
2%
Инде Наварретте
2%
Энн Хэтэуэй 37%
Мариана ди Джироламо 15.2%
Пенелопа Крус 15%
Зендея 5.9%
$16,113 Объем
$16,113 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Энн Хэтэуэй
$12,055 Объем
37%
Мариана ди Джироламо
$286 Объем
15%
Пенелопа Крус
$1,229 Объем
15%
Зендея
$213 Объем
6%
Бетти Гилпин
$256 Объем
6%
Сандра Хюллер
$444 Объем
5%
Маргарет Куэлли
$243 Объем
5%
Тао Окамото
$191 Объем
4%
Паркер Поузи
$292 Объем
3%
Изабелла Росселлини
$70 Объем
3%
Дэниэль Дэдуайлер
$222 Объем
3%
Джемма Чан
$120 Объем
2%
Инде Наварретте
$492 Объем
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anne Hathaway’s early positioning in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* drives trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by the film’s anticipated awards momentum and ongoing debate over category placement for her Penelope role. Penélope Cruz follows at 15.5% on the strength of dual campaigns in *La Bola Negra* and *The Invite*, while emerging contenders like Mariana di Girolamo, Sandra Hüller, and Zendaya reflect a wide-open field with limited fall festival screenings to date. Historical Academy patterns favor established names in supporting races, yet fluid category decisions and guild buzz ahead of 2027 nominations keep the spread tight. Key catalysts include upcoming TIFF and fall premieres that could reshape frontrunner status before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$16,113Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anne Hathaway’s early positioning in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* drives trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by the film’s anticipated awards momentum and ongoing debate over category placement for her Penelope role. Penélope Cruz follows at 15.5% on the strength of dual campaigns in *La Bola Negra* and *The Invite*, while emerging contenders like Mariana di Girolamo, Sandra Hüller, and Zendaya reflect a wide-open field with limited fall festival screenings to date. Historical Academy patterns favor established names in supporting races, yet fluid category decisions and guild buzz ahead of 2027 nominations keep the spread tight. Key catalysts include upcoming TIFF and fall premieres that could reshape frontrunner status before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$16,113Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anne Hathaway’s early positioning in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* drives trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, fueled by the film’s anticipated awards momentum and ongoing debate over category placement for her Penelope role. Penélope Cruz follows at 15.5% on the strength of dual campaigns in *La Bola Negra* and *The Invite*, while emerging contenders like Mariana di Girolamo, Sandra Hüller, and Zendaya reflect a wide-open field with limited fall festival screenings to date. Historical Academy patterns favor established names in supporting races, yet fluid category decisions and guild buzz ahead of 2027 nominations keep the spread tight. Key catalysts include upcoming TIFF and fall premieres that could reshape frontrunner status before voting begins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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