With no 2026 films released as of September 2026, the Oscars Best Supporting Actor market remains highly speculative, leaving trader consensus diffuse across dozens of names. Paul Giamatti’s 52% implied probability reflects his established awards profile and recent lead roles, while the cluster of other contenders at 50% underscores the absence of precursor signals or confirmed campaigns. Lower odds for actors such as Robert Pattinson, Michael Fassbender, and Miles Teller capture early name recognition without yet tying to specific projects or guild momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, first guild nominations, and critical consensus that historically narrow these fields. The wide spread highlights how quickly sentiment can shift once films screen and voting bodies begin signaling preferences.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 52%
Miles Teller 10.6%
Michael Fassbender 9.6%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
$15,881 Объем
$15,881 Объем

Paul Giamatti
52%

Miles Teller
11%

Michael Fassbender
10%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Гай Пирс
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 52%
Miles Teller 10.6%
Michael Fassbender 9.6%
Robert Pattinson 8.9%
$15,881 Объем
$15,881 Объем

Paul Giamatti
52%

Miles Teller
11%

Michael Fassbender
10%

Robert Pattinson
9%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Гай Пирс
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...With no 2026 films released as of September 2026, the Oscars Best Supporting Actor market remains highly speculative, leaving trader consensus diffuse across dozens of names. Paul Giamatti’s 52% implied probability reflects his established awards profile and recent lead roles, while the cluster of other contenders at 50% underscores the absence of precursor signals or confirmed campaigns. Lower odds for actors such as Robert Pattinson, Michael Fassbender, and Miles Teller capture early name recognition without yet tying to specific projects or guild momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, first guild nominations, and critical consensus that historically narrow these fields. The wide spread highlights how quickly sentiment can shift once films screen and voting bodies begin signaling preferences.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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