With leading contenders closely matched at implied probabilities around 50%, trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay reflects the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, where dozens of original scripts remain in development, production, or limited release. No single project has yet secured decisive guild momentum or critical consensus, leaving room for late breakthroughs from festival premieres, strong reviews, or box office surprises. Specific titles like Wild Horse Nine at 32.5% and The Debut at 29.4% show modest early positioning, while lower-priced options such as Obsession and Digger sit below 11% amid limited confirmed details. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts, guild nominations, and year-end critic lists that historically shape screenplay frontrunners. The wide distribution underscores how unpredictable this category remains before precursor awards begin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 33%
The Debut 29.4%
Obsession 11%
Digger 7%
$33,235 Объем
$33,235 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Wild Horse Nine
33%
The Debut
29%
Obsession
11%
Digger
7%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
The Drama
3%
Fjord
2%
Josephine
2%
Club Kid
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
1%
Elsinore
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 33%
The Debut 29.4%
Obsession 11%
Digger 7%
$33,235 Объем
$33,235 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Wild Horse Nine
$26,197 Объем
33%
The Debut
$1,101 Объем
29%
Obsession
$484 Объем
11%
Digger
$2,980 Объем
7%
The Invite
$59 Объем
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$69 Объем
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Объем
3%
The Drama
$39 Объем
3%
Fjord
$1,690 Объем
2%
Josephine
$59 Объем
2%
Club Kid
$43 Объем
1%
A Place in Hell
$69 Объем
1%
The Odyssey
$69 Объем
1%
Fatherland
$40 Объем
1%
The Black Ball
$107 Объем
1%
Elsinore
$40 Объем
1%
Forgotten Island
$79 Объем
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders closely matched at implied probabilities around 50%, trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay reflects the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, where dozens of original scripts remain in development, production, or limited release. No single project has yet secured decisive guild momentum or critical consensus, leaving room for late breakthroughs from festival premieres, strong reviews, or box office surprises. Specific titles like Wild Horse Nine at 32.5% and The Debut at 29.4% show modest early positioning, while lower-priced options such as Obsession and Digger sit below 11% amid limited confirmed details. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts, guild nominations, and year-end critic lists that historically shape screenplay frontrunners. The wide distribution underscores how unpredictable this category remains before precursor awards begin.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$33,235Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders closely matched at implied probabilities around 50%, trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay reflects the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, where dozens of original scripts remain in development, production, or limited release. No single project has yet secured decisive guild momentum or critical consensus, leaving room for late breakthroughs from festival premieres, strong reviews, or box office surprises. Specific titles like Wild Horse Nine at 32.5% and The Debut at 29.4% show modest early positioning, while lower-priced options such as Obsession and Digger sit below 11% amid limited confirmed details. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts, guild nominations, and year-end critic lists that historically shape screenplay frontrunners. The wide distribution underscores how unpredictable this category remains before precursor awards begin.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$33,235Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...With leading contenders closely matched at implied probabilities around 50%, trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay reflects the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, where dozens of original scripts remain in development, production, or limited release. No single project has yet secured decisive guild momentum or critical consensus, leaving room for late breakthroughs from festival premieres, strong reviews, or box office surprises. Specific titles like Wild Horse Nine at 32.5% and The Debut at 29.4% show modest early positioning, while lower-priced options such as Obsession and Digger sit below 11% amid limited confirmed details. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts, guild nominations, and year-end critic lists that historically shape screenplay frontrunners. The wide distribution underscores how unpredictable this category remains before precursor awards begin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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