The Black Ball holds a commanding lead in the Best International Feature Film market at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting early trader consensus around its strong critical positioning and campaign momentum ahead of the 2027 Oscars. With most other contenders clustered near 50% and several longshots below 10%, the field remains wide open this far from eligibility deadlines and precursor awards. Historical patterns show international submissions often surge after fall festival debuts and guild recognition, so upcoming announcements from major territories and initial critic circles could quickly shift sentiment. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret academy voting and late-year releases that frequently alter frontrunner narratives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучший международный полнометражный фильм
«Оскар-2027»: лучший международный полнометражный фильм
Чёрный мяч 68%
Отечество 6.7%
Возможная любовь 6.6%
Вдруг 6.5%
$20,449 Объем
$20,449 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Чёрный мяч
68%
Отечество
7%
Возможная любовь
14%
Вдруг
7%
Фьорд
3%
Coward
1%
Возлюбленный
1%
Минотавр
1%
Горькое Рождество
1%
Параллельные истории
1%
Заветное приключение
<1%
Sheep in the Box
<1%
Роуз
<1%
Человек, которого я люблю
<1%
Надежда
<1%
Чёрный мяч 68%
Отечество 6.7%
Возможная любовь 6.6%
Вдруг 6.5%
$20,449 Объем
$20,449 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Чёрный мяч
$8,839 Объем
68%
Отечество
$1,417 Объем
7%
Возможная любовь
$857 Объем
14%
Вдруг
$1,017 Объем
7%
Фьорд
$1,537 Объем
3%
Coward
$811 Объем
1%
Возлюбленный
$773 Объем
1%
Минотавр
$723 Объем
1%
Горькое Рождество
$548 Объем
1%
Параллельные истории
$715 Объем
1%
Заветное приключение
$554 Объем
<1%
Sheep in the Box
$694 Объем
<1%
Роуз
$569 Объем
<1%
Человек, которого я люблю
$690 Объем
<1%
Надежда
$705 Объем
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball holds a commanding lead in the Best International Feature Film market at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting early trader consensus around its strong critical positioning and campaign momentum ahead of the 2027 Oscars. With most other contenders clustered near 50% and several longshots below 10%, the field remains wide open this far from eligibility deadlines and precursor awards. Historical patterns show international submissions often surge after fall festival debuts and guild recognition, so upcoming announcements from major territories and initial critic circles could quickly shift sentiment. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret academy voting and late-year releases that frequently alter frontrunner narratives.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Объем
$20,449Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball holds a commanding lead in the Best International Feature Film market at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting early trader consensus around its strong critical positioning and campaign momentum ahead of the 2027 Oscars. With most other contenders clustered near 50% and several longshots below 10%, the field remains wide open this far from eligibility deadlines and precursor awards. Historical patterns show international submissions often surge after fall festival debuts and guild recognition, so upcoming announcements from major territories and initial critic circles could quickly shift sentiment. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret academy voting and late-year releases that frequently alter frontrunner narratives.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$20,449Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball holds a commanding lead in the Best International Feature Film market at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting early trader consensus around its strong critical positioning and campaign momentum ahead of the 2027 Oscars. With most other contenders clustered near 50% and several longshots below 10%, the field remains wide open this far from eligibility deadlines and precursor awards. Historical patterns show international submissions often surge after fall festival debuts and guild recognition, so upcoming announcements from major territories and initial critic circles could quickly shift sentiment. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret academy voting and late-year releases that frequently alter frontrunner narratives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы