Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of The Odyssey has anchored trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Director market, with its strong critical reception, IMAX-scale spectacle, and commercial performance reinforcing his position as the clear frontrunner following his Oppenheimer win. The implied probability around 53.5% reflects early industry narrative momentum and historical precedent for repeat recognition in prestige epics, though the field remains competitive. Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three, slated for December, sits at 20.5% as the primary challenger, while a broad group of directors—including Jesse Eisenberg, Martin McDonagh, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, and others—cluster near 50% or lower amid unproven 2026 projects. Key swing factors include fall festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year box office data that could shift consensus before nominations lock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар 2027»: лучший режиссер
«Оскар 2027»: лучший режиссер
Кристофер Нолан 54%
Дени Вильнёв 21%
Джордан Ферстман 9.2%
Джесси Айзенберг 8.4%
$13,122 Объем
$13,122 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Кристофер Нолан
54%
Дени Вильнёв
21%
Джордан Ферстман
9%
Джесси Айзенберг
8%
Фил Лорд или Кристофер Миллер
8%
Мартин МакДона
7%
Дэвид О. Рассел
7%
Алехандро Г. Иньярриту
6%
Аарон Соркин
6%
Питер Фаррелли
6%
Стивен Спилберг
2%
Оливия Уайлд
1%
Ланс Оппенхайм
7%
Бассам Тарик
<1%
Кристофер Нолан 54%
Дени Вильнёв 21%
Джордан Ферстман 9.2%
Джесси Айзенберг 8.4%
$13,122 Объем
$13,122 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Кристофер Нолан
$8,323 Объем
54%
Дени Вильнёв
$783 Объем
21%
Джордан Ферстман
$148 Объем
9%
Джесси Айзенберг
$198 Объем
8%
Фил Лорд или Кристофер Миллер
$192 Объем
8%
Мартин МакДона
$278 Объем
7%
Дэвид О. Рассел
$139 Объем
7%
Алехандро Г. Иньярриту
$1,494 Объем
6%
Аарон Соркин
$154 Объем
6%
Питер Фаррелли
$158 Объем
6%
Стивен Спилберг
$208 Объем
2%
Оливия Уайлд
$215 Объем
1%
Ланс Оппенхайм
$673 Объем
7%
Бассам Тарик
$158 Объем
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of The Odyssey has anchored trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Director market, with its strong critical reception, IMAX-scale spectacle, and commercial performance reinforcing his position as the clear frontrunner following his Oppenheimer win. The implied probability around 53.5% reflects early industry narrative momentum and historical precedent for repeat recognition in prestige epics, though the field remains competitive. Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three, slated for December, sits at 20.5% as the primary challenger, while a broad group of directors—including Jesse Eisenberg, Martin McDonagh, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, and others—cluster near 50% or lower amid unproven 2026 projects. Key swing factors include fall festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year box office data that could shift consensus before nominations lock.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Объем
$13,122Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of The Odyssey has anchored trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Director market, with its strong critical reception, IMAX-scale spectacle, and commercial performance reinforcing his position as the clear frontrunner following his Oppenheimer win. The implied probability around 53.5% reflects early industry narrative momentum and historical precedent for repeat recognition in prestige epics, though the field remains competitive. Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three, slated for December, sits at 20.5% as the primary challenger, while a broad group of directors—including Jesse Eisenberg, Martin McDonagh, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, and others—cluster near 50% or lower amid unproven 2026 projects. Key swing factors include fall festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year box office data that could shift consensus before nominations lock.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$13,122Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of The Odyssey has anchored trader sentiment in the Oscars 2027 Best Director market, with its strong critical reception, IMAX-scale spectacle, and commercial performance reinforcing his position as the clear frontrunner following his Oppenheimer win. The implied probability around 53.5% reflects early industry narrative momentum and historical precedent for repeat recognition in prestige epics, though the field remains competitive. Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three, slated for December, sits at 20.5% as the primary challenger, while a broad group of directors—including Jesse Eisenberg, Martin McDonagh, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, and others—cluster near 50% or lower amid unproven 2026 projects. Key swing factors include fall festival reactions, guild nominations, and late-year box office data that could shift consensus before nominations lock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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