The early 2027 Oscars adapted screenplay race remains wide open, with market-implied odds reflecting a tightly contested field among prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations. Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads trader consensus on the strength of its recent theatrical release, strong critical reception, and the filmmaker’s proven awards pedigree, while Project Hail Mary benefits from Ryan Gosling’s star power and Phil Lord and Christopher Miller’s direction. Titles like The Invite, The Black Ball, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth sit close behind, buoyed by guild buzz potential and source-material prestige. Historical patterns favor films with established literary roots and director cachet, yet the absence of guild or critics’ awards results keeps the field fluid ahead of nominations in January 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 28%
The Black Ball 28%
The Invite 20%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$20,075 Объем
$20,075 Объем
The Odyssey
28%
The Black Ball
28%
The Invite
20%
Project Hail Mary
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6%
Ink
6%
Dune: Part Three
6%
Wildwood
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Clarissa
2%
Cry to Heaven
1%
Saturn Return
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
The Odyssey 28%
The Black Ball 28%
The Invite 20%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$20,075 Объем
$20,075 Объем
The Odyssey
28%
The Black Ball
28%
The Invite
20%
Project Hail Mary
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6%
Ink
6%
Dune: Part Three
6%
Wildwood
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Clarissa
2%
Cry to Heaven
1%
Saturn Return
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The early 2027 Oscars adapted screenplay race remains wide open, with market-implied odds reflecting a tightly contested field among prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations. Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey leads trader consensus on the strength of its recent theatrical release, strong critical reception, and the filmmaker’s proven awards pedigree, while Project Hail Mary benefits from Ryan Gosling’s star power and Phil Lord and Christopher Miller’s direction. Titles like The Invite, The Black Ball, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth sit close behind, buoyed by guild buzz potential and source-material prestige. Historical patterns favor films with established literary roots and director cachet, yet the absence of guild or critics’ awards results keeps the field fluid ahead of nominations in January 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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