Julianne Moore’s commanding 64.5% implied probability stems primarily from the rapturous early reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s community-theater comedy *The Debut*, which premiered at Telluride in September 2026 and quickly positioned her as the frontrunner. Critics have praised Moore’s fearless, comedic turn as a disaffected housewife chasing a stage role, generating the kind of awards-season momentum that historically favors established Oscar winners seeking a second statue. Earlier contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller remain in the mix at lower prices, but lack comparable recent festival heat. With *The Debut* slated for a December 11 release and additional fall festival screenings ahead, traders are pricing in strong precursor potential while the field stays fluid until guild and critics’ awards begin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса
Julianne Moore 65%
Индэ Наварретт 14%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.7%
$133,344 Объем
$133,344 Объем

Julianne Moore
65%

Индэ Наварретт
14%

Renate Reinsve
9%

Sandra Hüller
8%

Virginie Efira
1%

Ruth Madeley
1%

Scarlett Johansson
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%

Michelle Williams
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 65%
Индэ Наварретт 14%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.7%
$133,344 Объем
$133,344 Объем

Julianne Moore
65%

Индэ Наварретт
14%

Renate Reinsve
9%

Sandra Hüller
8%

Virginie Efira
1%

Ruth Madeley
1%

Scarlett Johansson
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%

Michelle Williams
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s commanding 64.5% implied probability stems primarily from the rapturous early reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s community-theater comedy *The Debut*, which premiered at Telluride in September 2026 and quickly positioned her as the frontrunner. Critics have praised Moore’s fearless, comedic turn as a disaffected housewife chasing a stage role, generating the kind of awards-season momentum that historically favors established Oscar winners seeking a second statue. Earlier contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller remain in the mix at lower prices, but lack comparable recent festival heat. With *The Debut* slated for a December 11 release and additional fall festival screenings ahead, traders are pricing in strong precursor potential while the field stays fluid until guild and critics’ awards begin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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