Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek leads early head-to-head polls against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 Research survey of likely voters, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue state. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including Diehl's recent rise in a GOP-only online poll and Dudley-Drazan fundraising dominance reported March 24, risks producing a fragmented or underfunded nominee ahead of the May 19 vote. Kotek's mixed approval amid homelessness and housing concerns persists, but Oregon's Democratic dominance since 1987 and lack of GOP unity sustain the 86.5% implied probability, with general election on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Орегона
Победитель выборов губернатора Орегона
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
87%
Республиканец
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
$0 Объем
87%
Республиканец
$4,994 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek leads early head-to-head polls against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 Research survey of likely voters, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue state. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including Diehl's recent rise in a GOP-only online poll and Dudley-Drazan fundraising dominance reported March 24, risks producing a fragmented or underfunded nominee ahead of the May 19 vote. Kotek's mixed approval amid homelessness and housing concerns persists, but Oregon's Democratic dominance since 1987 and lack of GOP unity sustain the 86.5% implied probability, with general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$4,994Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek leads early head-to-head polls against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 Research survey of likely voters, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue state. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including Diehl's recent rise in a GOP-only online poll and Dudley-Drazan fundraising dominance reported March 24, risks producing a fragmented or underfunded nominee ahead of the May 19 vote. Kotek's mixed approval amid homelessness and housing concerns persists, but Oregon's Democratic dominance since 1987 and lack of GOP unity sustain the 86.5% implied probability, with general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$4,994Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek leads early head-to-head polls against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan (45%-40%), Ed Diehl (43%-37%), and Chris Dudley (45%-35%) from a February FM3 Research survey of likely voters, bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue state. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including Diehl's recent rise in a GOP-only online poll and Dudley-Drazan fundraising dominance reported March 24, risks producing a fragmented or underfunded nominee ahead of the May 19 vote. Kotek's mixed approval amid homelessness and housing concerns persists, but Oregon's Democratic dominance since 1987 and lack of GOP unity sustain the 86.5% implied probability, with general election on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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