Incumbent Grace Meng maintains an 87.5% consensus probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District, driven by her established name recognition across central and eastern Queens, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.4 million as of March, and institutional support including a recent endorsement from State Sen. Liu. Challenger Charles Park, a former chief of staff running on progressive priorities, launched a grassroots field effort in March with some local backing yet holds only 12.7% amid limited resources and the structural advantages of incumbency. Yan Xiong, initially listed as a candidate, was disqualified and does not appear on the ballot, consistent with his 1.6% share. The low-profile race has seen no major late developments shifting trader assessments ahead of primary day.