Incumbent Grace Meng holds an 88% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting her established name recognition across Queens, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.4 million, and recent endorsements including from State Sen. Liu. Challenger Charles Park, a former chief of staff emphasizing progressive priorities, has pursued a grassroots field campaign launched in March and secured some local backing, yet trails at 10.3% amid limited resources and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-profile contest. Yan Xiong’s disqualification from the ballot accounts for his 1.6% share. No major late-breaking developments have shifted trader consensus ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГрейс Менг 88%
Чарльз Пак 10.4%
Ян Сюн 1.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 июн. 2026 г.
Грейс Менг
88%
Чарльз Пак
10%
Ян Сюн
2%
Грейс Менг 88%
Чарльз Пак 10.4%
Ян Сюн 1.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 июн. 2026 г.
Грейс Менг
$3,071 Объем
88%
Чарльз Пак
$1,175 Объем
10%
Ян Сюн
$1,159 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Grace Meng holds an 88% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting her established name recognition across Queens, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.4 million, and recent endorsements including from State Sen. Liu. Challenger Charles Park, a former chief of staff emphasizing progressive priorities, has pursued a grassroots field campaign launched in March and secured some local backing, yet trails at 10.3% amid limited resources and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-profile contest. Yan Xiong’s disqualification from the ballot accounts for his 1.6% share. No major late-breaking developments have shifted trader consensus ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
Объем
$5,405Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Grace Meng holds an 88% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting her established name recognition across Queens, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.4 million, and recent endorsements including from State Sen. Liu. Challenger Charles Park, a former chief of staff emphasizing progressive priorities, has pursued a grassroots field campaign launched in March and secured some local backing, yet trails at 10.3% amid limited resources and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-profile contest. Yan Xiong’s disqualification from the ballot accounts for his 1.6% share. No major late-breaking developments have shifted trader consensus ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$5,405Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Grace Meng holds an 88% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District, reflecting her established name recognition across Queens, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.4 million, and recent endorsements including from State Sen. Liu. Challenger Charles Park, a former chief of staff emphasizing progressive priorities, has pursued a grassroots field campaign launched in March and secured some local backing, yet trails at 10.3% amid limited resources and the structural edge of incumbency in a low-profile contest. Yan Xiong’s disqualification from the ballot accounts for his 1.6% share. No major late-breaking developments have shifted trader consensus ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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