Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 99.5% for the August market because none of the defined resolution triggers materialized by the August 31 deadline. These include oil prices reaching $150 per barrel, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut, or specific changes in control over key maritime chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz or Bab el-Mandeb. Ongoing regional conflicts, natural disasters including earthquakes in Colombia and Indonesia, and routine elections in Zambia and Kazakhstan produced no shifts meeting those thresholds. Congressional recess further limited legislative activity, while scheduled diplomatic and economic meetings yielded no breakthroughs that would alter the outcome. Late developments such as tariff announcements or minor military actions also stayed below the criteria needed to resolve the market to "Something."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНичто никогда не случается: август
Ничто никогда не случается: август
Ничего
>99% вероятность
$32,091 Объем
$32,091 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Ничего
>99% вероятность
$32,091 Объем
$32,091 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 99.5% for the August market because none of the defined resolution triggers materialized by the August 31 deadline. These include oil prices reaching $150 per barrel, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut, or specific changes in control over key maritime chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz or Bab el-Mandeb. Ongoing regional conflicts, natural disasters including earthquakes in Colombia and Indonesia, and routine elections in Zambia and Kazakhstan produced no shifts meeting those thresholds. Congressional recess further limited legislative activity, while scheduled diplomatic and economic meetings yielded no breakthroughs that would alter the outcome. Late developments such as tariff announcements or minor military actions also stayed below the criteria needed to resolve the market to "Something."
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Объем
$32,091Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 99.5% for the August market because none of the defined resolution triggers materialized by the August 31 deadline. These include oil prices reaching $150 per barrel, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut, or specific changes in control over key maritime chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz or Bab el-Mandeb. Ongoing regional conflicts, natural disasters including earthquakes in Colombia and Indonesia, and routine elections in Zambia and Kazakhstan produced no shifts meeting those thresholds. Congressional recess further limited legislative activity, while scheduled diplomatic and economic meetings yielded no breakthroughs that would alter the outcome. Late developments such as tariff announcements or minor military actions also stayed below the criteria needed to resolve the market to "Something."
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
Объем
$32,091Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 99.5% for the August market because none of the defined resolution triggers materialized by the August 31 deadline. These include oil prices reaching $150 per barrel, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut, or specific changes in control over key maritime chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz or Bab el-Mandeb. Ongoing regional conflicts, natural disasters including earthquakes in Colombia and Indonesia, and routine elections in Zambia and Kazakhstan produced no shifts meeting those thresholds. Congressional recess further limited legislative activity, while scheduled diplomatic and economic meetings yielded no breakthroughs that would alter the outcome. Late developments such as tariff announcements or minor military actions also stayed below the criteria needed to resolve the market to "Something."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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