Teresa Leger Fernández holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support from Santa Fe and tribal communities such as the Navajo Nation. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces Republican state representative Martin Zamora in the November 3 general election after both secured their party nominations unopposed in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Partisan Voter Index and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate significant barriers to an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNM-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NM-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,736 Объем
$22,736 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$22,736 Объем
$22,736 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,880 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$12,856 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Teresa Leger Fernández holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support from Santa Fe and tribal communities such as the Navajo Nation. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces Republican state representative Martin Zamora in the November 3 general election after both secured their party nominations unopposed in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Partisan Voter Index and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$22,736Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Teresa Leger Fernández holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support from Santa Fe and tribal communities such as the Navajo Nation. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces Republican state representative Martin Zamora in the November 3 general election after both secured their party nominations unopposed in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Partisan Voter Index and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,736Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Teresa Leger Fernández holds a commanding position in the New Mexico 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support from Santa Fe and tribal communities such as the Navajo Nation. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 56 percent in 2024, faces Republican state representative Martin Zamora in the November 3 general election after both secured their party nominations unopposed in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Partisan Voter Index and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate significant barriers to an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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