Z.ai's accelerated GLM-5 cadence, with GLM-5.3 launching August 14, 2026, and the multimodal GLM-5.3-Flash following on August 26, drives current trader focus on the next 5.4+ release. Both models build on the same 743B-parameter base through targeted post-training, delivering 50% coding gains on internal benchmarks, SOTA open-source results on Terminal Bench 3.0, and new cybersecurity capabilities such as real-world vulnerability discovery. The company emphasizes agentic engineering workflows, long 1M-token context, and cost-efficient inference on domestic Chinese chips, while releasing weights under MIT license after safety reviews. Competitive pressure from closed Western models and Z.ai's public listing plus surging API revenue create incentives for continued rapid iteration, though exact timing hinges on further reinforcement learning cycles and regulatory considerations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Z.ai GLM (5.4+) выпущен...?
Следующий Z.ai GLM (5.4+) выпущен...?
$14,463 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
15 сентября
50%
30 сентября
39%
31 октября
75%
$14,463 Объем
15 сентября
$111 Объем
50%
30 сентября
$7,833 Объем
39%
31 октября
$6,519 Объем
75%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai's accelerated GLM-5 cadence, with GLM-5.3 launching August 14, 2026, and the multimodal GLM-5.3-Flash following on August 26, drives current trader focus on the next 5.4+ release. Both models build on the same 743B-parameter base through targeted post-training, delivering 50% coding gains on internal benchmarks, SOTA open-source results on Terminal Bench 3.0, and new cybersecurity capabilities such as real-world vulnerability discovery. The company emphasizes agentic engineering workflows, long 1M-token context, and cost-efficient inference on domestic Chinese chips, while releasing weights under MIT license after safety reviews. Competitive pressure from closed Western models and Z.ai's public listing plus surging API revenue create incentives for continued rapid iteration, though exact timing hinges on further reinforcement learning cycles and regulatory considerations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 3:49 AM ET
Объем
$14,463Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 3:49 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Z.ai's accelerated GLM-5 cadence, with GLM-5.3 launching August 14, 2026, and the multimodal GLM-5.3-Flash following on August 26, drives current trader focus on the next 5.4+ release. Both models build on the same 743B-parameter base through targeted post-training, delivering 50% coding gains on internal benchmarks, SOTA open-source results on Terminal Bench 3.0, and new cybersecurity capabilities such as real-world vulnerability discovery. The company emphasizes agentic engineering workflows, long 1M-token context, and cost-efficient inference on domestic Chinese chips, while releasing weights under MIT license after safety reviews. Competitive pressure from closed Western models and Z.ai's public listing plus surging API revenue create incentives for continued rapid iteration, though exact timing hinges on further reinforcement learning cycles and regulatory considerations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$14,463Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 3:49 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Z.ai's accelerated GLM-5 cadence, with GLM-5.3 launching August 14, 2026, and the multimodal GLM-5.3-Flash following on August 26, drives current trader focus on the next 5.4+ release. Both models build on the same 743B-parameter base through targeted post-training, delivering 50% coding gains on internal benchmarks, SOTA open-source results on Terminal Bench 3.0, and new cybersecurity capabilities such as real-world vulnerability discovery. The company emphasizes agentic engineering workflows, long 1M-token context, and cost-efficient inference on domestic Chinese chips, while releasing weights under MIT license after safety reviews. Competitive pressure from closed Western models and Z.ai's public listing plus surging API revenue create incentives for continued rapid iteration, though exact timing hinges on further reinforcement learning cycles and regulatory considerations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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