Polymarket traders express finely balanced sentiment for the Nasdaq 100's December 2026 close, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 41.5% for $23,500-$25,000, $25,000-$26,500, and $33,000-$36,000 ranges, underscoring uncertainty in tech-heavy index trajectory from current levels near 23,100. Recent correction—down over 4% last week to enter official territory amid Middle East tensions driving crude above $110/barrel and 10-year Treasury yields to 4.25%—has amplified inflation fears, pressuring growth valuations despite Fed's steady 3.5%-3.75% funds rate post-March FOMC. Key differentiators include Q1 big tech earnings growth from AI investments versus potential Fed pause on cuts if CPI heats up, with geopolitical resolution as pivotal swing factor ahead of May policy meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$26,500-$28,500 42%
$25 000–$26 500 41%
$23,500–$25,000 40%
$30 500–$33 000 40%
Ниже $23,500
35%
$23,500–$25,000
40%
$25 000–$26 500
41%
$26,500-$28,500
42%
$28,500–$30,500
42%
$30 500–$33 000
40%
$33,000–$36,000
40%
>$36,000
41%
$26,500-$28,500 42%
$25 000–$26 500 41%
$23,500–$25,000 40%
$30 500–$33 000 40%
Ниже $23,500
35%
$23,500–$25,000
40%
$25 000–$26 500
41%
$26,500-$28,500
42%
$28,500–$30,500
42%
$30 500–$33 000
40%
$33,000–$36,000
40%
>$36,000
41%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders express finely balanced sentiment for the Nasdaq 100's December 2026 close, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 41.5% for $23,500-$25,000, $25,000-$26,500, and $33,000-$36,000 ranges, underscoring uncertainty in tech-heavy index trajectory from current levels near 23,100. Recent correction—down over 4% last week to enter official territory amid Middle East tensions driving crude above $110/barrel and 10-year Treasury yields to 4.25%—has amplified inflation fears, pressuring growth valuations despite Fed's steady 3.5%-3.75% funds rate post-March FOMC. Key differentiators include Q1 big tech earnings growth from AI investments versus potential Fed pause on cuts if CPI heats up, with geopolitical resolution as pivotal swing factor ahead of May policy meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы