The overwhelming presence of four No. 1 regional seeds—UConn, Purdue, Houston and Duke—in the Elite Eight for the first time since 2008 anchors trader consensus at 55.5% for a top seed national champion, reflecting their combined dominance and favorable matchups like UConn's 82% implied win probability over Illinois. A 2-seed at 45% gains from Tennessee's defensive surge past Purdue looming large, while Alabama's 4-seed (28%) rides upsets over North Carolina and Baylor. Cinderella NC State's 11-seed run to 27% stems from knocking off Marquette and Texas Tech, fueling mid-seed clusters (6-12 seeds ~27%) amid upset volatility, though historical data favors elites in title games. Recent Sweet 16 chalk holds tempered lower-seed hype.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
1 75%
4 28%
2 27%
9 27%
1
55%
2
27%
3
18%
4
28%
5
16%
6
25%
7
16%
9
27%
10
27%
11
27%
12
27%
1 75%
4 28%
2 27%
9 27%
1
55%
2
27%
3
18%
4
28%
5
16%
6
25%
7
16%
9
27%
10
27%
11
27%
12
27%
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming presence of four No. 1 regional seeds—UConn, Purdue, Houston and Duke—in the Elite Eight for the first time since 2008 anchors trader consensus at 55.5% for a top seed national champion, reflecting their combined dominance and favorable matchups like UConn's 82% implied win probability over Illinois. A 2-seed at 45% gains from Tennessee's defensive surge past Purdue looming large, while Alabama's 4-seed (28%) rides upsets over North Carolina and Baylor. Cinderella NC State's 11-seed run to 27% stems from knocking off Marquette and Texas Tech, fueling mid-seed clusters (6-12 seeds ~27%) amid upset volatility, though historical data favors elites in title games. Recent Sweet 16 chalk holds tempered lower-seed hype.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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