Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant performance in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District primary on March 3—securing 89.9% against minimal opposition—has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a Republican general election win on November 3, reflecting the district's R+8 to R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Knott's 2024 victory margin of 58.6%-41.4% over Democrat Frank Pierce underscores incumbency advantage and historical Republican strength in this Raleigh exurban seat, where 2024 presidential results favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9%. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a contested primary with 59.1%, but comparable fundraising leaves little room to overcome structural headwinds absent major shifts like scandals or nationalized midterms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNC-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
84%
Демократическая партия
$2,092 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant performance in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District primary on March 3—securing 89.9% against minimal opposition—has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a Republican general election win on November 3, reflecting the district's R+8 to R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Knott's 2024 victory margin of 58.6%-41.4% over Democrat Frank Pierce underscores incumbency advantage and historical Republican strength in this Raleigh exurban seat, where 2024 presidential results favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9%. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a contested primary with 59.1%, but comparable fundraising leaves little room to overcome structural headwinds absent major shifts like scandals or nationalized midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$2,092Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant performance in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District primary on March 3—securing 89.9% against minimal opposition—has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a Republican general election win on November 3, reflecting the district's R+8 to R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Knott's 2024 victory margin of 58.6%-41.4% over Democrat Frank Pierce underscores incumbency advantage and historical Republican strength in this Raleigh exurban seat, where 2024 presidential results favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9%. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a contested primary with 59.1%, but comparable fundraising leaves little room to overcome structural headwinds absent major shifts like scandals or nationalized midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,092Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant performance in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District primary on March 3—securing 89.9% against minimal opposition—has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a Republican general election win on November 3, reflecting the district's R+8 to R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Knott's 2024 victory margin of 58.6%-41.4% over Democrat Frank Pierce underscores incumbency advantage and historical Republican strength in this Raleigh exurban seat, where 2024 presidential results favored Republicans 54.7%-42.9%. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a contested primary with 59.1%, but comparable fundraising leaves little room to overcome structural headwinds absent major shifts like scandals or nationalized midterms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы