Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the Western Conference championship, bolstered by their league-best 61-16 record, top-ranked defense, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's MVP-caliber play amid a nine-game win streak entering the final week. San Antonio Spurs trail at 26.7% with the No. 2 seed locked (57-18), fueled by Victor Wembanyama's dominant sophomore season—averaging 30+ points—and a balanced attack that has won seven of their last 10, closing the gap on OKC. Denver Nuggets sit at 11.5% despite Nikola Jokic's brilliance, weighed by a fourth-place standing and recent losses exposing rotation depth issues. Clinching updates over the April 3-4 weekend solidified the top duo's separation, while injuries like the Lakers' Luka Doncic hamstring strain have faded other contenders.