LeBron James will become an unrestricted free agent after exercising his $52.6 million player option to play the 2025-26 season with the Los Angeles Lakers, positioning the franchise as the frontrunner at 58% implied probability due to its substantial cap space and established relationship with the 41-year-old. The Cleveland Cavaliers sit at 30% on nostalgia and potential homecoming appeal, though roster construction and financial constraints limit their flexibility. The Clippers, Warriors, Spurs, and Heat trail in the low-to-mid teens amid reports of widespread interest from contenders, yet most face apron or luxury-tax hurdles that restrict offers beyond the non-taxpayer mid-level exception. James has signaled a decision timeline around late June or July, with retirement remaining a factor that could shift probabilities if he elects not to return for a 24th season.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNBA: LeBron James Next Team
Los Angeles Lakers 59%
Cleveland Cavaliers 38%
Golden State Warriors 25.7%
Houston Rockets 8.5%
$15,991 Объем
$15,991 Объем
Los Angeles Lakers
58%
Cleveland Cavaliers
30%
Golden State Warriors
15%
Houston Rockets
9%
Boston Celtics
4%
Phoenix Suns
4%
New York Knicks
4%
Philadelphia 76ers
4%
Los Angeles Clippers
21%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Dallas Mavericks
1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
14%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers 59%
Cleveland Cavaliers 38%
Golden State Warriors 25.7%
Houston Rockets 8.5%
$15,991 Объем
$15,991 Объем
Los Angeles Lakers
58%
Cleveland Cavaliers
30%
Golden State Warriors
15%
Houston Rockets
9%
Boston Celtics
4%
Phoenix Suns
4%
New York Knicks
4%
Philadelphia 76ers
4%
Los Angeles Clippers
21%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Dallas Mavericks
1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
14%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James will become an unrestricted free agent after exercising his $52.6 million player option to play the 2025-26 season with the Los Angeles Lakers, positioning the franchise as the frontrunner at 58% implied probability due to its substantial cap space and established relationship with the 41-year-old. The Cleveland Cavaliers sit at 30% on nostalgia and potential homecoming appeal, though roster construction and financial constraints limit their flexibility. The Clippers, Warriors, Spurs, and Heat trail in the low-to-mid teens amid reports of widespread interest from contenders, yet most face apron or luxury-tax hurdles that restrict offers beyond the non-taxpayer mid-level exception. James has signaled a decision timeline around late June or July, with retirement remaining a factor that could shift probabilities if he elects not to return for a 24th season.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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