Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since forming a 24-member cabinet in February 2025 following President Joseph Aoun’s election, securing a parliamentary confidence vote shortly thereafter. Through mid-2026 he has remained in office without reported coalition fractures, resignation signals, or formal challenges, while directing cabinet actions on state authority, army deployments in the south, and diplomatic engagement with regional actors including Israel and the UN. Parliamentary elections scheduled for May 2026 represent the next institutional opportunity for government turnover, yet trader consensus at 64% “No” reflects the lack of recent developments indicating his departure before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since forming a 24-member cabinet in February 2025 following President Joseph Aoun’s election, securing a parliamentary confidence vote shortly thereafter. Through mid-2026 he has remained in office without reported coalition fractures, resignation signals, or formal challenges, while directing cabinet actions on state authority, army deployments in the south, and diplomatic engagement with regional actors including Israel and the UN. Parliamentary elections scheduled for May 2026 represent the next institutional opportunity for government turnover, yet trader consensus at 64% “No” reflects the lack of recent developments indicating his departure before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Объем
$646Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since forming a 24-member cabinet in February 2025 following President Joseph Aoun’s election, securing a parliamentary confidence vote shortly thereafter. Through mid-2026 he has remained in office without reported coalition fractures, resignation signals, or formal challenges, while directing cabinet actions on state authority, army deployments in the south, and diplomatic engagement with regional actors including Israel and the UN. Parliamentary elections scheduled for May 2026 represent the next institutional opportunity for government turnover, yet trader consensus at 64% “No” reflects the lack of recent developments indicating his departure before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$646Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since forming a 24-member cabinet in February 2025 following President Joseph Aoun’s election, securing a parliamentary confidence vote shortly thereafter. Through mid-2026 he has remained in office without reported coalition fractures, resignation signals, or formal challenges, while directing cabinet actions on state authority, army deployments in the south, and diplomatic engagement with regional actors including Israel and the UN. Parliamentary elections scheduled for May 2026 represent the next institutional opportunity for government turnover, yet trader consensus at 64% “No” reflects the lack of recent developments indicating his departure before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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