Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election for a seventh consecutive year in the May 2026 parliamentary leadership vote. The conservative Principlist majority in the legislature has shown consistent support, with Ghalibaf continuing to participate actively in Supreme National Security Council deliberations and public statements on foreign policy, ceasefires, and negotiations. Annual speaker elections occur within the parliament, but no recent procedural challenges, opposition votes, or official announcements point to an imminent change. His entrenched role amid ongoing diplomatic and security developments reduces near-term removal prospects, though the next leadership contest remains scheduled for 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$47,985 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
5%
31 декабря
21%
$47,985 Объем
30 сентября
$6,780 Объем
5%
31 декабря
$17,618 Объем
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election for a seventh consecutive year in the May 2026 parliamentary leadership vote. The conservative Principlist majority in the legislature has shown consistent support, with Ghalibaf continuing to participate actively in Supreme National Security Council deliberations and public statements on foreign policy, ceasefires, and negotiations. Annual speaker elections occur within the parliament, but no recent procedural challenges, opposition votes, or official announcements point to an imminent change. His entrenched role amid ongoing diplomatic and security developments reduces near-term removal prospects, though the next leadership contest remains scheduled for 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Объем
$47,985Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election for a seventh consecutive year in the May 2026 parliamentary leadership vote. The conservative Principlist majority in the legislature has shown consistent support, with Ghalibaf continuing to participate actively in Supreme National Security Council deliberations and public statements on foreign policy, ceasefires, and negotiations. Annual speaker elections occur within the parliament, but no recent procedural challenges, opposition votes, or official announcements point to an imminent change. His entrenched role amid ongoing diplomatic and security developments reduces near-term removal prospects, though the next leadership contest remains scheduled for 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$47,985Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election for a seventh consecutive year in the May 2026 parliamentary leadership vote. The conservative Principlist majority in the legislature has shown consistent support, with Ghalibaf continuing to participate actively in Supreme National Security Council deliberations and public statements on foreign policy, ceasefires, and negotiations. Annual speaker elections occur within the parliament, but no recent procedural challenges, opposition votes, or official announcements point to an imminent change. His entrenched role amid ongoing diplomatic and security developments reduces near-term removal prospects, though the next leadership contest remains scheduled for 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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