Missouri's 1st Congressional District, encompassing urban St. Louis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the House election winner market, reflecting entrenched Democratic dominance and historical 70-80% vote shares in general elections. Wesley Bell's decisive August primary victory over incumbent Cori Bush (51%-45%) solidified a strong nominee against Republican Andrew Jones, who faces overwhelming registration and turnout disadvantages. No polling or major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, with routine campaigning ahead of the November 5 ballot. Scenarios that could challenge this include late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Bell, or unprecedented GOP mobilization, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$4,940 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District, encompassing urban St. Louis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the House election winner market, reflecting entrenched Democratic dominance and historical 70-80% vote shares in general elections. Wesley Bell's decisive August primary victory over incumbent Cori Bush (51%-45%) solidified a strong nominee against Republican Andrew Jones, who faces overwhelming registration and turnout disadvantages. No polling or major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, with routine campaigning ahead of the November 5 ballot. Scenarios that could challenge this include late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Bell, or unprecedented GOP mobilization, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$4,940Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District, encompassing urban St. Louis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the House election winner market, reflecting entrenched Democratic dominance and historical 70-80% vote shares in general elections. Wesley Bell's decisive August primary victory over incumbent Cori Bush (51%-45%) solidified a strong nominee against Republican Andrew Jones, who faces overwhelming registration and turnout disadvantages. No polling or major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, with routine campaigning ahead of the November 5 ballot. Scenarios that could challenge this include late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Bell, or unprecedented GOP mobilization, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$4,940Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District, encompassing urban St. Louis with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the House election winner market, reflecting entrenched Democratic dominance and historical 70-80% vote shares in general elections. Wesley Bell's decisive August primary victory over incumbent Cori Bush (51%-45%) solidified a strong nominee against Republican Andrew Jones, who faces overwhelming registration and turnout disadvantages. No polling or major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, with routine campaigning ahead of the November 5 ballot. Scenarios that could challenge this include late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Bell, or unprecedented GOP mobilization, though structural barriers make shifts unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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