The Democratic Party's 91.5% implied probability in the MN-03 House race reflects the district's established D+11 partisan voter index and incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison's strong position heading into the August 11, 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in recent cycles. Republicans field a limited primary slate with no prominent challengers positioned to contest the general election effectively. A late surge by a high-profile Republican nominee or significant national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive dynamics currently anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
$10,058 Объем
$10,058 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$10,058 Объем
$10,058 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,165 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$3,893 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's 91.5% implied probability in the MN-03 House race reflects the district's established D+11 partisan voter index and incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison's strong position heading into the August 11, 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in recent cycles. Republicans field a limited primary slate with no prominent challengers positioned to contest the general election effectively. A late surge by a high-profile Republican nominee or significant national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive dynamics currently anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$10,058Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's 91.5% implied probability in the MN-03 House race reflects the district's established D+11 partisan voter index and incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison's strong position heading into the August 11, 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in recent cycles. Republicans field a limited primary slate with no prominent challengers positioned to contest the general election effectively. A late surge by a high-profile Republican nominee or significant national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive dynamics currently anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,058Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's 91.5% implied probability in the MN-03 House race reflects the district's established D+11 partisan voter index and incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison's strong position heading into the August 11, 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's performance in recent cycles. Republicans field a limited primary slate with no prominent challengers positioned to contest the general election effectively. A late surge by a high-profile Republican nominee or significant national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive dynamics currently anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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