Eric Pratt holds a commanding lead in the MN-02 Republican primary as the only candidate with active party support following Tyler Kistner's April withdrawal due to military deployment and Jeremy Westby's subsequent exit after the May 2 district convention. Pratt secured 65% of delegate votes for the endorsement at that gathering, with the full Minnesota Republican congressional delegation backing him shortly afterward. These developments cleared the field ahead of the August 11 primary, leaving minimal organized opposition. Trader consensus prices reflect this outcome, though scenarios such as late filing by additional candidates before ballot deadlines or unexpected endorsement shifts could still alter the race.